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She got 35.3% in 2008 against Biden.

She needs another 14.8% to get 50.1.

1) She will get some from people who aren’t conservative and aren’t liberal. “Moderates”. There are some 30-40% moderates in Delaware. Some are ideological, taking positions that place them between the conservatives and liberals. Others are non-ideological. We focus on the non-ideological. Christine is a pretty young woman. Get the moderates to vote for a pretty young woman. They will,
a whole bunch.

2) Turnout. Conservatives are pissed, Liberals aren’t. In 2008, the situation was reversed. The Liberal turnout was very high in 2008. Conservatives didn’t like McCain, were unhappy with Republicans, felt Bush was insufficiently conservative, etc. They didn’t turn out. This year we’re turning out. And Christine will maximize Conservative turnout. Conservatives will not crawl a mile through broken glass to turn out for Castle. Conservatives will for Christine. Also consider that the tea party is bringing in a lot of conservative new voters.

3) Generic Congressional.
In 2008, we were down by 6 in a generic congressional. I just searched that. It could be higher or lower, this is a gallup 10/17/08. In 2010, we’re up by around 10. That’s a 16 point swing.

Conditions are right for a Christine victory in November.
The people in general are more anti D, pro R. The average, not paying too much attention voter was more D in 2008, and is now more R. We’ll get them with Christines pretty young woman factor.

Last time was 35% - conservative base. This time the conservative base will be larger - 40%+. And Christine gets 10%+ from nonideological moderates.

We’re gonna do really well all across the board. Vote for the person you want to be Senator.

What about HI, MD, NH, NY, NY? Have all except NH been written off? Aren’t people worried about RINOs or too conservatives in HI, MD, NY, NY?

The Conservatives have decided that Christine is their woman in DE.