Trust me...I'm a journalist.
Posted on 09/12/2010 8:44:03 PM PDT by Justaham
It's no secret that House Democrats are headed for a very tough election on Nov. 2.
ut Democratic strategists are privately hoping that amid the large-scale seat losses they are nearly certain to endure, the volatile national political climate and distaste with the goings-on in Washington will allow them to pick off just enough Republican-held seats to narrowly hold the House majority heading into the 112th Congress.
Polling does suggest the electorate's disgust is not isolated to Democrats - although the majority party will feel its effect more acutely as the side in charge of all three levers (White House, House and Senate) of political Washington.
In a Washington Post/ABC News poll conducted earlier this month, thirty-four percent of registered voters said Democrats deserved to be reelected this fall, while 31 percent said the same of Republicans. Asked which party they trust to better handle the issues of the day, 40 percent of registered voters named Democrats and 38 percent chose Republicans.
Those numbers - along with others like them in various national polls - are regularly cited by Democratic strategists as evidence that there may be some silver linings in the ominous electoral clouds building on the horizon.
So, where should you look to find these silver linings? Here's a look at seven of Democrats' best pickup opportunities this fall:
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
Oh boy do they WISH!
100 Seats in the House. MOST all the Governor’s races and 12+ in the US Senate.
THAT is my polling.
How certain are you of your prediction?
Registered voters?
Uh.
that dog aint gonna hunt.
By those measures, Dems should be 10 points up.
Republicans need to be working on registering people to vote. This may be a rare era where such efforts would be richly rewarded.
The commie libs in the state run “media” are trying to talk their way to a Communist Party win in November.
Hmmm. Everyone? Just remember what WaPo’s got going here, namely “Spin! Spin! Spin!”, sung to the tune of the Byrds “Turn! Turn! Turn!”
WaPo, ya’ll just keep on pretending like that this is an anti-incumbent tsunami this November, rather than the anti-Rat tsunami that we’re going to actually see, ya’ll hear?
The Post has got to prop up the spirits and donations of Dem supporters.
Talk about a DREAMER! Sheesh.
The most telling numbers from Nov. 2nd is what happens in state legislature races.
It’s a distaste so much of people in power, than of our liberal (progressive) society that people are sick of including those in Washington! Reverse course..that is what we are saying! NO More Liberals.
I think it’s good not to be over-convident. 50-something days is quite long in politics, and the Dhims have a lot of money. I still expect the Dhims to lose the House, but am not sure about the number. This, after all, is a game of expectation. Expect too high, and when we only win with 1+ seat, it’ll look weak.
Caution:
John Boehner is very unlikeable...and Bush didn’t even fight for his own tax cuts.....or else he wouldn’t have voted for stimulus and TARP in 2008....
Boehner also is pulling moves worse than Gingrich in 1995......thinking he-—as House MINORITY leader—can tell Obama who to fire.......sounds like arrogance and politics to Middle America....
let Obama keep his economic team...
A couple of those picks seem plausible. Hawaii and Delaware and even Illinois may well go Democrat on those particular races.
I think the guy is wrong about Lungren and Cao, however. I don’t know a heck of a lot about Lungren, but I think he’ll benefit from anti-Democratic sentiment and pull through. As for Cao, I was *sure* that he was a one-and-done. The district he represents had been held by a Democrat since 1825 or thereabouts. But...the numbers I saw a bit earlier this year showed Cao running very strongly. I think he’ll win again.
No opinion about the Florida race or Pennsylvania’s 15th. Don’t know diddly about Penn. politics - except that Joe Sestak is a complete a$$hat.
“In a Washington Post/ABC News poll conducted earlier this month, thirty-four percent of registered voters said Democrats deserved to be reelected this fall, while 31 percent said the same of Republicans. Asked which party they trust to better handle the issues of the day, 40 percent of registered voters named Democrats and 38 percent chose Republicans. “
This poll had Republicans winning by 2% among registered voters and 13% among likely voters. Why didn’t they quote the results from the likely voters? After all, according to the poll those who are actually going to vote have are much more inclined to support Republicans.
Trust me...I'm a journalist.
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