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West Virginia Moves To "Toss Up" Within The Margin!
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 9/9/10 | Scott Rasmussen

Posted on 09/09/2010 8:32:41 AM PDT by RachelFaith

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To: RachelFaith
We will just have to hold their feet to the fires of re-election or hope (and work) for a tsunami of small government candidates in November of 2012.
21 posted on 09/09/2010 9:01:01 AM PDT by 2001convSVT ("Repeal ObamaCare")
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To: Ann Archy

I alwqys though Illinois and Mayor Daley I got that dishonor. W. Va. was where Daddy Joe Kennedy’s millions bought the defeat of Hubert Humphrey so JFK could win the nomination.


22 posted on 09/09/2010 9:03:44 AM PDT by RightGeek (FUBO and the donkey you rode in on)
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To: I_Like_Spam
West Virginia is a critical state as I understand the Democrat running is a pretty well known and popular fellow.

The winner will also get seated immediately and get to vote in the lame duck session. Another reason to concentrate some fire power there.

23 posted on 09/09/2010 9:05:15 AM PDT by mac_truck ( Aide toi et dieu t aidera)
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To: RachelFaith

Correct me if I’m wrong, but isn’t this one special in that the winner is seated immediately following the election, vs waiting until January?


24 posted on 09/09/2010 9:06:19 AM PDT by Spydergoo (Good is the enemy of Great. - Jim Collins)
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To: RachelFaith

This is the one I want. Delaware or Ill don’t care so much about. But this can be a conservative held seat as can Nevada. The states I want are “red” or “swing”. The blue states including my own secondary unless a Christie is running.


25 posted on 09/09/2010 9:07:12 AM PDT by Soul Seeker (?)
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To: mac_truck

Beat me to it. :)


26 posted on 09/09/2010 9:07:20 AM PDT by Spydergoo (Good is the enemy of Great. - Jim Collins)
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To: RachelFaith

Don’t count out Connecticut yet.


27 posted on 09/09/2010 9:07:28 AM PDT by Old Retired Army Guy (tHE)
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To: I_Like_Spam
Gov. Manchin is very popular in West Virginia, our nearest neighbor. He was running something like a 70% approval rating before deciding to run for Byrd's seat.

It looks like a lot of West Virginians feel that a good governor won't necessarily be a good senator one he gets under Zer0's influence.

28 posted on 09/09/2010 9:08:52 AM PDT by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: Vigilanteman
Manchin came out for Obamacare months ago - said he would have voted for it if he were in Congress.

Very damaging stuff, and Raese hasn't even gone after that point much yet.

29 posted on 09/09/2010 9:14:55 AM PDT by Crichton
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To: Old Retired Army Guy

Agreed! I fully COUNT it. 12+ Senate wins. Maybe 15!!

ALL of the Toss Ups and some of the leaning.


30 posted on 09/09/2010 9:20:04 AM PDT by RachelFaith (2010 is going to be a 100 seat Tsunami - Welcome to "The Hunt for Red November".)
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To: rovenstinez
"And Robert Byrd is not even yet decomposed."

But we know who he's voting for!!
31 posted on 09/09/2010 9:25:36 AM PDT by Old Teufel Hunden
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To: Old Teufel Hunden

I got this email from dick morris a few days ago... and posted it - I am going to do what I can for him - like you said, that would be a big one!! MONEY I AM SURE HE NEEDS MONEY! GO CHRISTINE ODONNELL!!

MANNA FROM HEAVEN

By DICK MORRIS & EILEEN MCGANN

September 2, 2010

Having failed us in life, Robert Byrd is apparently going

to help us to limit government spending after his demise.

He has accomplished this postmortem feat by opening up

His Senate seat in time to be included in the

deluge that is approaching in the November, 2010 election.

When Byrd died, Democrats confidently expected West Virginia’s

popular governor - Joe Manchin (pronounced mansion) - to win

the seat handily. When Republican John Raese (pronounced racy)

jumped into the race, few were surprised and none

bothered to recalculate the GOP’s chances.

While Raese is wealthy and inclined to spend heavily to win,
he had been soundly defeated by Byrd in 2006 for the same seat.

Now comes the first poll in the race by Scott Rasmussen and

the results are going to send shockwaves throughout

the country. Manchin leads Raese by only 48-42!

What makes these numbers so significant is that Manchin

has a job approval as governor of 70%. So more than

a third of those who like him as Governor, don’t want

him to be the Senator.

Why not? The answer is simple: Barack Obama.

West Virginia voted for McCain in 2008 despite a reputation

for yellow dog consistency in backing Democrats.

But when Coal is, of course, as vital to this state’s economy

as gambling is to Nevada’s and Obama’s determination to

wreck the coal industry is not welcome in West Virginia.

When a governor’s job approval ratings are not correlating

with an ability to win vote share, he is in desperate trouble.

The way politicians usually win office is by raising their

approval and favorability ratings. The fact that Manchin’s

are already stratospheric but his vote share is under 50,

suggests that the linkage between the two is severed,

likely with lethal consequences for his Senate candidacy.

For his part, Raese can run against the Stimulus Package,

Obamacare, TARP, and, above all, Cap and Trade.Of Manchin’s

record as the state’s chief executive, all he need say is

“Keep Manchin as our Governor.”

Especially since Raese is partly self-funded, he can wage

a strong campaign. With West Virginia decidedly in play,

the prospects are even brighter for Republican control of

the Senate.

By the way, two Republicans running for the House in
West Virginia also deserve support - and donations...
read more.

GO TO WWW.DICKMORRIS.COM TO READ ALL OF DICK’S COLUMNS!


32 posted on 09/09/2010 9:56:21 AM PDT by true believer forever
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To: true believer forever
But when Coal is, of course, as vital to this state’s economy as gambling is to Nevada’s and Obama’s determination to wreck the coal industry is not welcome in West Virginia.

Bingo! We have a winner.

33 posted on 09/09/2010 10:15:49 AM PDT by Texas Fossil (Government, even in its best state is but a necessary evil; in its worst state an intolerable one.)
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To: Anitius Severinus Boethius
...it was Illinois that cost Nixon the election with Daley holding back the Chicago results until it could be determined how many votes were needed for Kennedy to win.

Yes, that is what happened, and Nixon, to his everlasting credit, knew about this and possibly could have successfully contested the results, but chose not to, to ensure that the country would not be subjected to an ugly process that would tarnish our presidential electoral process. Unlike Al Gore, who had no such scruples.

34 posted on 09/09/2010 10:23:10 AM PDT by OldPossum
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To: RachelFaith

Keep the faith, Rachel..


35 posted on 09/09/2010 11:29:10 AM PDT by ken5050 (The meek shall inherit the earth, but no way Kendrick Meek beats Marco Rubio)
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To: I_Like_Spam

West Virginia has finally awoken from the ‘commercials’ , and the disconnect between what their representative say vs. what they actually vote!


36 posted on 09/09/2010 11:49:57 AM PDT by Freddd (CNN is down to Three Hundred Thousand viewers. But they worked for it.)
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To: Crichton
Bingo! Raese needs to go after that, as I'm sure he will.

A potentially winning slogan would be "West Virginia needs a good governor in Charleston, not another Obama rubberstamp in Washington."

37 posted on 09/09/2010 1:15:50 PM PDT by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: Buckeye Battle Cry
SURF’S UP!!!!!

Stay out of the water. this is going to be a Tsunami of historic proportions.

38 posted on 09/09/2010 1:17:19 PM PDT by CPT Clay (Pick up your weapon and follow me.)
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To: CPT Clay

I like the way you think!


39 posted on 09/09/2010 1:18:22 PM PDT by Buckeye Battle Cry (If Pelosi were Pope abortion would be a sacrament.)
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To: Buckeye Battle Cry; LS

I’m really going to appreciate your new senator, Portman, over the last one Voinovich.\! As FReeper LS says, its like a pick up of a half of seat.

Kacish sp is going to be a good Gov too, I have admired him since the class of ‘94.


40 posted on 09/09/2010 1:24:36 PM PDT by CPT Clay (Pick up your weapon and follow me.)
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