Posted on 09/08/2010 9:21:58 AM PDT by MissesBush
Democratic incumbent Barbara Boxer and her Republican challenger Carly Fiorina remain in a dead heat in California’s race for the U.S. Senate.
The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters, including leaners, shows Fiorina picking up 48% of the vote, while Boxer draws support from 47%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and three percent (3%) remain undecided.
These numbers show a slight shift from results with leaners found two weeks ago, when Boxer led Fiorina 49% to 44%. Leaners are those who initially indicate no preference for either of the candidates but answer a follow-up question and say they are leaning towards a particular candidate. From this point forward, Rasmussen Reports considers results with leaners the primary indicator of the race.
This contest continues to be a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Senate Balance of Power rankings.
Results before leaners are added show Fiorina with a 47% to 42% lead over Boxer. Two weeks ago, the candidates were in a virtual tie when voters were asked their initial preference.
Since February, Boxer’s support has ranged from 42% to 49%. In those same surveys, Fiorina, former CEO of Hewlett-Packard, has earned 38% to 43% of the vote.
Seventy-four percent (74%) of Fiorina voters are already certain of how they will vote this November, as are 69% of those who support Boxer, a member of the Senate since 1993.
Boxer has the powers of incumbency to her advantage in a state that trends Democratic, but like other congressional Democrats, she is finding the political environment unusually tough this year.
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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in California was conducted on September 6, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/-4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
Other data from this survey can be found at www.rasmussenreports.com/California.
Fiorina is backed by 91% of Republicans in California, while Boxer draws support from 86% of Democrats. The Republican holds a slight edge among voters not affiliated with either major political party.
Forty-eight percent (48%) of all voters in the state view Boxer favorably, while 50% regard her unfavorably. But this includes 20% with a Very Favorable view of her versus 41% who see her Very Unfavorably.
Fiorina is viewed favorably by 55% of California voters, including 17% with a Very Favorable opinion. Thirty-seven percent (37%) see her unfavorably, with 25% Very Unfavorable.
In California, only four percent (4%) rate the U.S. economy as good or excellent, but 62% describe it as poor. That’s a slightly more negative assessment of the current situation than results found nationally. While 23% say the economy is improving, 40% say conditions are getting worse.
Fifty-five percent (55%) in California approve of the job President Obama is doing, while 43% disapprove. Those ratings are better than those found nationally for the president in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.
In 2008, Rasmussen Reports projected nationally that Obama would defeat John McCain by a 52% to 46% margin. Obama won 53% to 46%. Four years earlier, Rasmussen Reports projected the national vote totals for both George W. Bush and John Kerry within half-a-percentage-point.
In California during the 2008 campaign, Rasmussen Reports polling showed Obama winning the state by a 61% to 34% margin. Obama won 61% to 37%. Four years earlier, Rasmussen Reports polling showed Kerry leading Bush in California 53% to 43%. Kerry won 54% to 44%.
In the 2006 California governor’s race, Rasmussen polling showed Arnold Schwarzenegger defeating Phil Angelides 53% to 40%. Schwarzenegger won 56% to 39%. In the 2006 race for U.S. Senate, Rasmussen polling showed Dianne Feinstein defeating Richard Mountjoy 58% to 35%. Feinstein won 60% to 35%.
See all Rasmussen Reports 2008 state results for president, Senate and governor. See 2006 results for Senate and governor. See 2004 state results for president.
Rasmussen Reports has recently surveyed Senate races in Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Missouri, Nevada, New Hampshire, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Vermont, Washington, West Virginia and Wisconsin.
Please sign up for the Rasmussen Reports daily e-mail update (it’s free) or follow us on Twitter or Facebook. Let us keep you up to date with the latest public opinion news.
bttt
Funny, the libs I know aren't saying "It's a long time until election day" anymore.
I cannot BELIEVE we're in striking distance of taking out Boxer.
Anybody’s better than Boxer.
Getting someone like Carly out of that political cesspool would be a wonderful thing. Perfect example of getting a a good moderately conservative out of a blue state. She’ll be with us on most things and certainly on the fiscal issues most important to us right now.
I fear that Fiorina will need to be up by at least 5-points just before election day, if she has any real shot of unseating Boxer. The corruption will be that bad. The unions are not going to go down without a fight.
We have to keep voting in the “lesser” of two evils over and over until we win this country back! I want BOXER OUT!!!
Fiorina seems pretty decent to me, from what I have seen.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2584872/posts
Rasmussen - California Governor: Whitman (R) 48%, Brown (D) 45%
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 8 Sept 2010 | Scott Rasmussen
Posted on Wednesday, September 08, 2010 6:49:34 AM by Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus
Too close
Boxer can steal it if too close.
Last week, the IRS started looking into a criminal probe of Planned Parenthood Golden Gate.
Planned Parenthood of America took the unusual step of kicking this affliate out of its network AFTER the criminal probe was started.
Something about cooking the books and campaign contributions...
I can post a link to the story. I am hoping Fox News will follow up on this story...
AND Feingold, AND Murray, AND (with a minor miracle) Reid.
It could be a great Election Night!
When Boxer and Feingold are on the ropes, no telling what will happen in November.
Darkwolf, I am absolutely giddy about the prospect of finally sending this witch back to San Fran. I have worked, paid and prayed for her defeat since she first won in 1992. Years of watching this utter leftist lunatic cypher embarrass California has only made me more hungry to see her brought low in the dust politically. She is an abomination. We’re so close this time to finally taking her down I can taste it. If we can’t do it in this anti-Democratic, anti-incumbent political atmosphere and with the best opponent we’ve yet fielded against Boxer, then she’ll never be defeated and will be there for whatever remains of her sorry, pathetic life.
After actually having Brown as a governor I’m amazed he still polls in the 40’s
Good grief!
GO CARLY!!
The Reid one is perplexing. Due to the media spin and some out and out goofy behavior by his opponent, not to mention his power position, he should be whistling to victory. But he keeps opening his old fool trap! Losing couldn’t happen to a nicer corpse.
You can bet that a bunch of these races will end up in court.
Oops - meant to post this link - article was posted yesterday.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2584872/posts
California Senate: Fiorina (R) 48%, Boxer (D) 47%
Rasmussen ^ | 9-7-10
Posted on Tuesday, September 07, 2010 5:13:08 PM by Justaham
I NEVER get all that excited about these kinds of stories because things are so fluid, but that describes my mood exactly right now.
Close enough to steal.
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