I have a difficult time believing that one. As disgusting as it may sound, Boucher practically 'owns' that district. I've never seen him win by anything less than 15 points, and that was in 2004. I was happy just to see the GOP even challenge him.
Just anecdotal here, but I HAVE seen LOTS of Griffith signs everywhere, and hardly any Boucher signs. I know this means nothing, because in '04, there were LOTS of Kerry signs(Kerry lost by 30 points in the locality where I saw lots of his signs), but I never recall seeing a challenger to Boucher with lots of signs up. I also saw a Boucher TV add earlier this week. I've NEVER seen him run a Television ad. His TV as was almost a comedy, if not just sad. He was remarking on all of the jobs he has "created". Anyone that has lived here for more than a few years knows that this area has been literally BLEEDING jobs. I saw him in the grocery store not long after he voted FOR Cap & Trade, and I almost yelled at him. lol The ONLY thing he has done is bring home pork since the dems took CONgress, and always manages to get his mug on the newspaper when it happens. Who knows... Maybe Boucher doesn't know how to run a seriously contested race, because he's never had one...
If the republicans can get within single digits in this district, it truly will be a 'wave' type election. If the republicans can get a win out of this district, it will be a Tsunami of epic proportions!
Jesse Kelly is the Rep nominee. You must be using old data.
Far to early to be declaring victory, son. There is still a lot that can happen between now and November, and you should never underestimate the ability of the human mind to believe whatever it wants, despite the evidence to the contrary.
"""""Recent polling conducted by Public Opinion Strategies shows that Michigan's 15th Congressional Race has become much more competitive. The poll is clear: Dingell is vulnerable.
When asked if the election were held today, data shows that Rep. John Dingell (D-MI) is only up 51%-42% on Dr. Rob Steele.
Dr. Steele surges ahead when respondents were informed that he is a practicing cardiologist, he has helped build his heart clinic from the ground up, that he is a first-time candidate, and that his top priority will be to stop the out-of-control spending in Washington. Dr. Steele takes the lead over Dingell 46%-41%.
That district is a D+13 district with the City of Ann Arbor in it.
Florida district 22. At last Allen West is ahead! Sending a little check...
Perhaps I have fallen away from my determined realism into a pit of pessimism, but I still can’t see a solid reason that voters will vote “FOR” Republicans wholesale in November. Republicans continue to try to give voters reasons NOT to vote for them on a national level by and large. Were it not for a few outstanding Conservatives and the upstart Tea Parties and their candidates propping UP the Republicans in the primaries, the Republicans would be just as limp and impotent as they were in 2008.
Additionally, as BAD an August — yea, WHOLE SUMMER — as Obama and his Democrats have had, the leaders seemingly haven’t cared. Why? Well, they are ideological zealots for one thing, that’s sure. But it’s more than that. They believe they STILL have a lock on Congress. Through massive fraud, media bias, legal manuevering, and national Republican weakness and unwillingness to fight their corruption of the election process, they believe they can retain Congress , even if by only a hare’s breath margin.
The Republicans get 30-38 House seats, 6-7 Senate seats — no more. If by some miracle they DO get one house, it will be the House — but they will be able to co-opt/buy enough RINO’s to continue to force thru Obama’s agenda virtually unhindered while using the Republicans as their whipping boy’s for the 2010 election to great effect.
Gosh I hope I’m wrong — but the Republicans have NEVER failed to make me RIGHT since 1996 with their failures — and the Democrats have ALWAYS proven me right with their diabolical and treacherous acts to gain their own power at the peril of the nation. Why should I believe it will change now?
http://voices.washingtonpost.com/thefix/house/rep-chet-edwards-emerges-as-mu.html
I am nervous about Edwards..He is a dem in a neavily R district and always pulls it out..
Flores may be ahead in the polls for now but Edwards just put out his first attack ad. on Flores.
There are some old polls here - some don’t even have the candidates that are actually running.
I saw a Dan Heck TV commercial and thought he was a repub.
Actually he is democrat and his commercial did not show that.
He is running anti-Wasshington DC positions in his ad.
His opponent is Jaime Herrera, GOP candidate. She is ahead in polls.
More on Mike Grimm NY 13’s next Congressman :
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2581800/posts
Moving America forward is coming to Staten Island today.
Ping
VA 2 Rigell 51, Nye 35 R+5
VA 5 Hurt 49, Perriello 43 R+5
VA 11 Fimian 40, Connolly 35 D+2
Some good news for the Old Dominion. Nye is a finger-in-the wind type with no real guiding sense of principle and Perriello is an 0bamabot to the core.