Posted on 08/30/2010 10:27:12 AM PDT by CedarDave
NM list PING!
(The NM list is available on my FR homepage for anyone to use. Let me know if you wish to be added or removed from the list. For ABQ Journal articles requiring a subscription, scroll down to the bottom of the page to view the article for free after watching a short video commercial.)
Not good...I haven’t seen a lot of campaigning down here in the SE Corner.
Thanks for the “heads-up”.
Not a good sign. The Republican was leading in the spring and this was supposed to be a near certain pickup.
I expect that Pearce and Barela will win in November.
Have to disagree. It's not "good news" for an incumbent when he's polling well below 50.
hard to believe. maybe a good wake-up call for pearce.
Just dropped by their district headquarters with a donation. Pearce is starting ad campaign next week (following Labor Day).
I saw this on Joe Monahan’s blog, I couldn’t stop laughing. Teague is toast.
I’m very surprised, considering he dropped his employees’ medical coverage, which had to upset quite a number of people. Then you have the relatives upset for them and the friends they told and so on and so on.....who knows why he’s leading, but I have faith they will elect Pearce.
Where do you come up with that? Not hardly; Pearce is going to work hard to reclaim his seat. Regarding Barela, the national Rats are pouring money into NM to defeat him and help enviro-nutter Heinrich keep his seat. I'd like to see Barela win, but am really worried about Pearce so he (and Martinez) will continue to get my donations.
If it’s the same poll I heard discussed this morning on KKOB, it’s registered voters. It’s too bad they didn’t poll likely voters as I think you get a truer read that way.
The Journal’s article was not completely clear on this as mentioned in my first comment. At one point they say registered voters and at another likely voters. However, after careful reading of it, I agree that it was more likely registered voters.
You gotta stop taking liberal newspapers and their so-called “polls” seriously. Teague was a fluke win to begin with, he was toast the day Pearce decided to come and reclaim his seat. If Pearce fails to win, we won’t win back the majority. I think Barela has an even shot. Martinez has it in the bag at this point for Governor.
...and a poll of “registered” voters is completely useless. Dem-leaning pollsters use that because it makes them look in better shape. Likelies (the true reality) put the GOP ahead.
I haven’t been real impressed with any of their election cycle reporting. Not sure if they’ve got a bunch of newbies or the lack of subscriptions is causing them to cut back on proofreaders or something.
If we can't win a district this friendly with a strong challenger, we'll pick up less than 20 seats nationally, and even the Democrat leadership is only hoping to hold losses to the low 30's at best.
My personal opinion is that Lujan will be much closer to losing than Teague is to winning.
The article was signed by Michael Coleman, the Journal’s Washington DC political reporter. He’s been around for a long time so was disappointed by his violating the basic facts of journalism, which are that you place your most important facts in the first couple of paragraphs. The race percentages were buried in a paragraph way down in the article.
If Lujan loses along with his fellow Dem newbies, that will be the fabled 100-seat sweep on par with the disastrous anti-Dem 1894 Cleveland midterms. I’m not going so far as to predict that (and there’d be simply no way for us to hold a lot of those beyond a one-term fluke, anyhow).
Brian Sanderoff’s polls are usually quite realistic. However, Pearce has not yet got his ad campaign in full gear. That will happen next week.
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