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Like abortion, this won't be a political decision, but a judicial decision. Since there's not ANYWHERE near the support for an Amendment, that's off the table. Eventually, probably sooner rather than later, the Supremes will hear one of these cases, and it (homosexual marriage) will become the law of the land, again just like abortion. From then on, it will only be talked about during election season, and only in campaign fund-raising letters, political rallies and conventions - again, just like abortion.

Homosexual marriage does fail at the ballot box. But, it only fails at the ballot box because blacks and Latinos vote against it, pretty overwhelmingly. Unfortunately, those exact same blacks and Latinos ONLY vote for pro-homosexual politicians who nominate or confirm pro-homosexual judges and justices.

That's just the practical political reality. Eventual homosexual marriage in America is as predictable as death and taxes

In my opinion, this is right as a political prediction of the near-term. The long-term branches in two extremes from that, though, and looks different from abortion politics. Either the opposition to gay marriage rouses itself to something like the political revolution necessary to overcome the judicial mandates, or the establishment's profound support for gay marriage (seeing it as an affirmative good rather than, as with abortion, a necessary evil) makes anti-gay-marriage sentiment impermissable as open racism is now for anyone who wants to have a job that pays more than minimum wage, to say the least of seek public office in any party.

Yes, I agree with that. Oddly enough, I think that as issues, both homosexual marriage and abortion may settle (in the long term) in much difference places from where they are today.

The young people - under 25 - overwhelmingly favor either homosexual marriage outright, or some kind of civil union. BUT, those same young people are increasingly more pro-life than their parents - and technology (IMHO) is the reason for both.

Every few years, ultrasound technology improves remarkably, especially with the introduction of 3-D ultrasounds 10 years or so ago. Today, you can see an ultrasound of a 3-month old and it looks exactly like a newborn baby. That has a profound - although perhaps subtle - impact on the understanding of when life begins in the eyes of the more youthful generation.

That same 3-D ultrasound technology generation also happens to be the so-called "Will & Grace" generation. Because homosexuality is so ubiquitous in present-day entertainment, it's not viewed as a big deal to these kids. As George Will has put it (loosely) - homosexuality today is yesterday's left-handedness.

For these reason, I actually think that while homosexual "relationships" will become more accepted in the near-term, abortion will become less accepted. Technology cuts both way in the culture wars.