What was the Twain quote? Lies, Damned Lies and Statistics I think.
I like your line; much more affirmative. I also agree with your thought that the muslim factor was incidental in many cases. Thieves and violent offenders aren't known to be picky.
Yes, Twain.
My understanding from listening to professionals is that most street crimes tend to be the product of a bad guy that waits for the fish to swim into the trap. Think ambush zone.