[jospehm20]

You mean the part of the Ras report that says “Hickenlooper’s level of support has been fairly steady for months, but he has clearly benefitted from Tancredo’s entry in the race which splits the Republican vote.” or was it some other section you wanted me to look at? What is your point?

[kabar]

Just 59% of Republican voters in the state now support Maes, while Hickenlooper picks up 82% of voters in his own party. Tancredo, an outspoken opponent of illegal immigration, captures 25% of GOP voters. Among voters not affiliated with either party, Hickenlooper earns 35% of the vote, Maes 28% and Tancredo 24%

Hickenlooper is viewed Very Favorably by 35% of voters in the state and Very Unfavorably by 24%. For Maes, Very Favorables are 12% and Very Unfavorables 20% Fourteen percent (14%) have a Very Favorable opinion of Tancredo, but 32% view him Very Unfavorably.

Neither Maes nor Tancredo could beat Hickenlooper given the favorables/unfavorables plus the independent vote is going his way.