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To: InterceptPoint
A little back of the envelope analysis of today's chart is in order.

Anything that is RED or PINK in the Experts column of today's chart means that the Republicans are favored to win. That's 38 races, 8 of which are Republican seats that we very, very likely to hold. A 'poor-mans' instant analysis would tell us that a 30 seat pickup is pretty likely (38-8) and that is about what we are hearing from "Experts".

So a reasonable person who wants to do the maximum to help the Republicans win the House back from the Pelosi crowd would start helping candidates who are 39 and below on the list: Martha Roby, Rick Crawford, Adam Kinzinger, Randy Hultgren, Kristi Noem, Charles Djou and so on down the list. That would seem to be where the payoff is. If you check out the current MONEY IN THE BANK for these candidates (just go to KeyHouseRaces.com and scroll down the list) you will see that, in general, the Dems are far ahead. We need to make up that differential.

38 posted on 08/14/2010 1:16:13 PM PDT by InterceptPoint
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To: InterceptPoint

Thanks. Bookmark.


39 posted on 08/14/2010 1:41:14 PM PDT by manic4organic (Obama shot hoops, America lost troops.)
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