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To: Sub-Driver


4 posted on 08/02/2010 7:58:03 AM PDT by deport
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To: deport

Certainly has a chance to be one of those storms that just recurves out to sea.


5 posted on 08/02/2010 8:12:37 AM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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To: deport

My sense is they are relying too much on models for this depression. IMO, it will go farther west unless it becomes a strong storm and that is not in the cards at least over the next 5 days.

History shows that storms forming in receding el nino years tend to go north at this time of the season and I suspect that is being factored into the NHC analysis. However, these is quite a ridge to the north and whether it builds farther west or not is critical regarding the future path.

So, as someone else said terser than I, models this early are not worth much..keep an eye on it till it gets to the 60-65 W lat, then one should be better to estimate an eventual path. 4me, out to sea would be a winner!


7 posted on 08/02/2010 8:15:59 AM PDT by Mouton
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To: deport

Unfortunately looks like a storm for the fish. We could use the rain here in SE Virginia. I could also use some home renovations.


8 posted on 08/02/2010 8:17:28 AM PDT by wolfman23601
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