Anything can happen.
I think they must punish him. If they dont, they invite a 100 more. That starts another wheel turning.
Some cases are less suspenseful than others, and this one is a slam dunk. He did miss movement. He did refuse to obey the orders of his commanding officer. And since the court to date has refused to allow anything relating to Obama's eligibility then I'd say his goose is pretty well cooked.
I think they must punish him. If they dont, they invite a 100 more. That starts another wheel turning.
There was a local doctor who refused to report for duty during Desert Storm. She got court martialed and spent about 2 years in Leavenworth before being let out. I really doubt that they'll jail Lakin but he will be kicked out and lose his pension.