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To: Rona_Badger

It she blows through the ocean floor clean, will be much worse then before. The old BOP had partially closed so there was some restriction on flow. If we get a clean crack and tunnel pathway to the ocean floor, will be a non-restricted gusher. Also possible that the oil is just traveling up into the loose ocean floor sediment. Means it could come up in a much broader area. If that occurs you may not see the dense concentrated flow that you saw coming out of the pipe. That means that dispersant’s will be useless.


163 posted on 07/15/2010 5:18:29 PM PDT by justa-hairyape
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To: justa-hairyape
Second hand transcript of what General Thad Allen said in the Afternoon Tech Briefing. From rainyday on TheOilDrum.

ADMIRAL ALLEN: Not necessarily, what we're going to do is we're going to test for 48 hours, and every six hours, we're going to evaluate all of the information we have available. At the end of 48 hours, we're going to take down the system, go back to containment, or production, as you say, and then we're going to get a new seismic reading off the floor that will tell us as a result of that testing at high pressure for 48 hours, was there a change in the well bore, or did we have oil leak into the formation and form a pocket just to be a precursor for breaching the ocean floor? Is there methane gas coming up, which would be a precursor as well.

Once we are satisfied that there are no indications that we've compromised the integrity of the wellbore, we create an irreversible position of oil leaving the well bore, we can go back then and put the—put the system under pressure again. Then once we're—once we're convinced, we've got no pressure in the well bore, and it can withstand the pressure after another seismic run, after that 48 hours, we can certainly consider shutting in the well, that's always a possibility, and of course, we would like to do that.

165 posted on 07/15/2010 5:39:26 PM PDT by justa-hairyape
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To: justa-hairyape
It [sic] she blows through the ocean floor clean, will be much worse then before.

Okay, but remember, if it's not happening right now... it's not happening.
166 posted on 07/15/2010 6:06:12 PM PDT by Rona Badger (A Knight Without Armor in a Savage Land)
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