Posted on 07/06/2010 8:16:35 PM PDT by coaltrain
Kentucky voters don't think much of Rand Paul and as a result the race to replace Jim Bunning in the Senate is tied. Paul and Jack Conway are getting 43% each.
The more Kentucky voters get to know Rand Paul, the less they like him. When PPP first polled the race in December Paul's favorability was a +3 spread at 26/23. By May it was a -7 spread at 28/35. Now it's a -8 spread at 34/42. The national media attention Paul has received has hurt his cause with voters in the state- 38% say it has made them less likely to support Paul while 29% say it has made them more inclined to vote for him and 33% say it hasn't had an impact on their attitude toward Paul one way or the other.
(Excerpt) Read more at onespot.wsj.com ...
And you'd lose your bet.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/kentucky/election_2010_kentucky_senate
Dependency is the 9th stage in Societal regression, the tenth and last being Tyranny. There are no doubts that this country is too far gone to save, outside of a miracle.
Many people don’t like to be put in a fait accompli position. Having to choose Paul or 0bama for some people is similar to when many conservatives had to choose between 0bama and McCain. I would choose Paul and McCain, but I can see that some people choose the third option: stay out of it altogether.
Right. PPP stands for Piss Poor Polling. Their polls are always liberal fantasies.
7 points isn't insurmountable, especially with this much time less and considering that he was down by over 24 points less than 7 weeks ago. Rand Paul is just one more idiotic comment away from blowing this. They should lock him in a basement someplace, and not let him speak to anyone or say anything until after election day.
Do you think it would be possible for you just to speak for yourself. I said what I think, I think the boy is as big a loon as his dad.
THIS is what the good people of Kentucky are hoping for, a Republican Senator with a SPINE - like the one he is replacing - the great Senator Jim Bunning.
The tide against Obama will carry even the most conservative and libertarian candidates over the top.
Its so bad that in a state like Kentucky if the Republicans ran Charles Manson and the Democrats ran Mother Teresa, Manson would win by 5 points.
PPP is showing a higher rate of Democrat turnout this year than in 2008. Their polls stand or fall on this assumption.
Very true.
While this isn't what Tip O'Neil meant when he said "All politics is local", I think that irrespective of the national political climate, it still comes down - in large part - the individual candidates. We see two people, in Angle and Paul, who have all the political winds at their back, but are still finding a way to make it as close a race as possible.
Although it sounds great to say "Let's throw the bums out and get some people from outside the beltway, inside the beltway", the problem is the outside the beltway rookies sometimes make boneheaded mistakes. The biggest upside to both Angle and Paul is that they are non-DC outsiders (kind of), but it's also their biggest weakness.
That is an insane and delusional assumption that has zero relation to the real world.
It`ll be interesting to see how certain `damaged` candidates do. The MSM are already getting their ducks in a row—if for example Paul loses it`ll be because of his `controversial` aned `rightwing` comments; if he wins it`ll be because of the `backlash against the first African-American president, with troubling anti-civil rights comments marring the reace` or something.
You imagine that a Libertarian does not support the freedom of people to live just about where ever they want regardless of where they were born? Don’t be fooled by Rand Paul’s campaign rhetoric.
The Democrats would have had a good shot at this race with us having nominated Rand Paul...but for the fact they nominated Jack Conway and their President’s approval is down in 30s in Kentucky. They’ll lose by ‘just’ 10-15 points instead of 20-25 when all is said and done...but the NRSC will have to expend resources here most likely to keep this seat that could have been used elsewhere. PPP is usually a left leaning poll so Paul is probably actually ahead currently by at least 5.
Aye, there's the rub. Of course, about 1/3 of the voters can understand what the story is, and about 1% of them can be found on this site, exchanging alarmingly accurate apercus with each other, me included.
What is escaping us is "How to we reverse course?" That is, how do we get rid of the Marxist obamanations that now plague us. We obviously can't get rid of Obama and The Senate until 2012.
The good folks out there know the country is sick, but no one wants to take Dr. Paul's bitter medicine.
Since they contribute to Dem campaigns and talk about how they want GOP candidates to lose they have a certain ‘rooting interest’.
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