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Trapped in such blobs, the oil from Deepwater Horizon will ride the Gulf Stream across the Atlantic. In years to come, some will wash up on European shores, and some will reach the Arctic Ocean and continue along global conveyor belts of currents. Whales, dolphins and other animals will dive through the petro-infused slabs, suffering possible toxic exposures. The unprecedented deepwater injection of chemical dispersants to break up the petroleum before it reaches the surface may only worsen the impact. It will cause more oil to remain suspended longer in these stratified slabs, where there is no way to remove it.

The Atlantic is not the only route the oil will take. Each year the Loop Current becomes "pregnant," bulging out toward Louisiana—and Deepwater Horizon. Sometimes the current loops back tightly enough to squeeze this bulge like a tied-off balloon, releasing a constellation of spinning eddies. Unlucky balseros who launched into the Loop Current in summer 1994 wound up swirling helplessly in these eddies, never nearing Florida.

Some eddies veer west, bouncing along the continental shelf at about three miles per day toward Texas. By late last month, according to mapping by Mitchell A. Roffer's highly regarded ocean forecasting service, this process had already begun: Tentacles of oil were extending west past the Loop Current. One eddy appears to have broken off and begun crawling to Texas. It may entrain escaping oil deep underwater for several months, relieving the Florida, Alabama and Mississippi coasts and the upper water column where most marine life lies.

By August, however, it will have moved too far from the wellhead to continue capturing the oil, which will resume flowing toward Florida. The westward-bound oil will weather, clumping into tarballs. Most of them will wash up along "the graveyard of the Gulf," Texas's Great Bend coast, just as debris from Hurricane Katrina did.

More crude will leach out from Louisana's spongy coastal wetlands, where it's now being absorbed, and also drift toward Texas. We will rediscover Deepwater Horizon's effects for many years to come.

Every 20 years or so, another oceanic oil spill or blowout reshapes our attitudes to petroleum and to the environment as a whole. In 1969, 20 years after the advent of offshore drilling, the Union Oil blowout off Santa Barbara forced us to confront its inherent risks and the cost of our hunger for fossil fuels. It inspired the first Earth Day and helped prompt the great wave of environmental regulation in the early 1970s. It may also have led to my being hired as Mobil Oil's first staff oceanographer, and enabled my colleagues and me to persuade the oil companies to build for much higher waves and stronger currents than they'd previously anticipated.

Ten years later, the Ixtoc 1 blowout—further south in the Gulf of Mexico, and a closer precedent for Deepwater Horizon—lasted 10 months and spewed more oil than any other accident. Because it involved a Mexican company and happened outside U.S. waters, it did not register with the same force in this country. But in 1989 the smaller but more visible Exxon Valdez spill delivered a wake-up call that still registers today. It brought home how vulnerable single-hulled tankers are, and it's still showing that spilled oil can persist in ecosystems for more than two decades.

We will also learn much from Deepwater Horizon, but at a great price.

1 posted on 06/02/2010 9:19:36 PM PDT by PhxRising
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To: PhxRising

So what is the One doing to clean up this mess? Has he deployed the US Coast Guard or US Navy to try to capture any of this oil in the Gulf? Has he deployed supertankers to try to suck up any of this oil? Has he sent people to clean up the beaches? What has he done, besides take 2 vacations and play golf every weekend?


2 posted on 06/02/2010 9:25:45 PM PDT by PhxRising
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To: PhxRising

The Sestak/Romanoff gusher seems to be spreading faster.


4 posted on 06/02/2010 9:30:55 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer ("A Republic, If You Can Keep It" - Benjamin Franklin)
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To: PhxRising

Isn’t this oil valuable enough to catch somehow?


5 posted on 06/02/2010 9:31:37 PM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (I am in America but not of America (per bible: am in the world but not of it))
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To: PhxRising

A third of the earth/oceans and it will appear to be as blood. Nothing in it shall survive
Then what happens if it catches fire - russia says do it hurry hurry nuke it ...woe the cups ...woe


7 posted on 06/02/2010 9:46:08 PM PDT by Tigen (I shall raise you one .)
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To: PhxRising

Terrorists will have a new target now, off shore oil platforms, that can cause all sorts of havoc.


9 posted on 06/02/2010 9:53:34 PM PDT by Wiggins
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To: PhxRising

Either way, it screwed up my Gulf Shores trip. I feel for those folks down there.


10 posted on 06/02/2010 10:00:01 PM PDT by ebshumidors ( Marksmanship and YOUR heritage http://www.appleseedinfo.org)
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To: PhxRising

If Bammy has his way it will reach all over the world.


12 posted on 06/02/2010 10:17:27 PM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (It's the end of the world as we know it and I feel fine!)
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To: PhxRising

Crap. I can’t wait for Hurricane season to settle in this year (it started yesterday in the Atlantic). /s


17 posted on 06/02/2010 10:53:40 PM PDT by Cyber Liberty (Build a man a fire; he'll be warm for a night. Set a man on fire; he'll be warm the rest of his life)
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To: PhxRising

the 0bama admin and the progressive press are trying to get people to see BP as the villian.

sure, they were working the rig at the time of the explosion. but there were fees paid to the US govt for just such a situation. those fees were meant to go towards buying equipment to clean up any spills. obviously, govt types spent the money elsewhere (social programs)

my problem with 0bama isn’t that the hole isn’t plugged, although that would be nice... where i fault him is on HIS APPROACH TO THE PROBLEM.

as any good executive/manager would know, when presented with a problem, you divide it into manageable pieces... then put your best people on each piece. 0bama has not done that. he has not broken down the problem, 40+ days in.

people should be attacking his inability to MANAGE the crisis... which is exactly why Rudy was hailed after 9-11. not because he solved anything, but because he managed it efficiently allowing the people to function properly.

THIS is why experience matters. when you get to the top, on the job training is very expensive. in this case, the currency is the livelihood of the people of the gulf coast and the impact on the economy.


18 posted on 06/03/2010 12:13:08 AM PDT by sten
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