Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: SteamShovel
the problem of sinking house prices

Sinking house prices are a "problem" in the same way as one's body temperature "sinking" from 103.5 to 98.8 degrees is a "problem". It's a natural correction to an insanely overheated market.

93 posted on 05/31/2010 1:39:15 PM PDT by Notary Sojac (I've been ionized, but I'm okay now.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 75 | View Replies ]


To: Notary Sojac

Correct.

The long-term trend of housing prices is that housing is priced at 2.6 to 3.0 times the median house income. Median household income is the 50% percentile of total income of all wage-earners in a house, eg, mom and dad put together in a two-wage-earner household.

In some areas of California, the median house price reached 9 times median household income.

That means that to regain the “long term trend line valuation,” the median prices need to a) assume no drop in median household income and b) drop 66%.

Most of California’s urban areas got up to 6 times median household income in their area. That means to reach long-term trend line prices, we need to see 50% price drops.


100 posted on 05/31/2010 1:45:23 PM PDT by NVDave
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 93 | View Replies ]

To: Notary Sojac
It's a natural correction to an insanely overheated market.

Agreed.....

.....I only say the activity will artificially intensify the decline, injuring those who's homes were bought at prices that would have otherwise been OK.

I see this activity as the negative of the loans that got us into the overheated housing market in the first place.....

.....It may be legal and by contract, but it will cause a larger slump than would otherwise happen.

The result is the same in the negative direction.

101 posted on 05/31/2010 1:45:27 PM PDT by SteamShovel (Obama...Chains you can believe in)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 93 | View Replies ]

To: Notary Sojac
Sinking house prices are a "problem" in the same way as one's body temperature "sinking" from 103.5 to 98.8 degrees is a "problem". It's a natural correction to an insanely overheated market.

Oh, maaa-aaa-aaan!! That's GORGEOUS! My husband is wondering why I was laughing and cheering in here!

198 posted on 05/31/2010 5:32:06 PM PDT by Finny
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 93 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson