Posted on 05/28/2010 8:10:12 PM PDT by Rutles4Ever
I took a break from work, and watched the live feed for a minute. I either just saw the whole thing entirely blow out, or BP is implementing LMRP or hot tap right now.
Specifically, I saw a HUGE rain of white clumps and particles which are either foam-like objects used in a junk shot or methane hydrates.
Then all of the water within the camera view got very, very dark. When I looked more closely, I could make out the outline of massive jet-black plumes of oil rising from below the camera.
At least as of right now (6:00 pm Pacific Standard Time), if you look at the live video feed below, you can see what I mean.
This is either very, very bad, or BP has abandoned the top kill/junk shots altogether and is in the middle of surgery where it has already cut off sections of the BOP and/or riser, and is trying to cap it off with a sealing grommet.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonsblog.com ...
Uhhh... Houston we have a problem.
The thing that puzzles me... wouldn’t BP not want to cap it and go with the LMRP option?
If they close this well off they can forget about the government ever letting them re-drill it. And this is a huge oil field.
Part of me believes they want to stop this well at all costs but another is cynical enough to believe they’d just try and slow it down till they could control it.
that’s the one I’m watchin....seems looped if ya watch the thin white flume center middle right...seems to repeat after 20 seconds to me
I haven’t been able to keep up today. Do they feel like they’re having some success?
Well, the President golfs every chance he gets. Maybe he made the suggestion.
success ?
yeah !...they found oil !
I saw it and they were discussing it on Oil Drum and other places. Here is a video someone caught, judge for yourself.
You Tube was taking them down as fast as anyone could put them up. I tried to put 2 on there and if they contained the words explosion they removed them. If you use other words they can’t find them. This is the only one left that I can find. I guess You Tube/ Google/ Kenyan suck ups don’t want anyone to know what is really going on down there.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VmZiyvMqggk
Asajkas^%R^GSkwl3
The Oil Drum says they are playing games with the videos and lying about what they are doing.
It’s may seem smaller because there are many more cracks now than the original 3.
Only their wackos are. (just like any other forum)
From what I understand the POTUS hits a lot of errant balls.
He prolly has a whole team of gov goons retrieving them from the buckerbrush just for this contingency.
The Man is a forward thinker.
LMRP = Lower Marine Riser Package
Now, what the hell THAT means, or why it is significant (if indeed it is), I couldn’t tell you.
...And obviously, neither can this “blogger” or anybody else.
LMRP = Lower Marine Riser Package.
Google it or go to http://tinyurl.com/35okn58.
Warning, there are more acronyms there, but Google is your friend!
Wildlife whithers while Obama dithers.
He is clean and articulate....
This is collected from the last 39 days on TOD and earlier, the data is of varying quality (but best available to the public) and this analysis is handwave quality (largely non-numeric).
Reservior quality oil is API 35 (right on edge between light & medium quality crude, few asphaltenes, which make the “best”, longest lasting tar balls) with lots of natural gas (3,000 GOS, 10,000 GOS is considered a gas well). The oil emulsifies with water easily, much better than most crude oils.
The reservoir pressure is 13,000 psi. (Temperature only 180 F from one report, unusually cold). 4 weeks ago the pressure was reported as 8,000 to 9,000 psi entering the BOP and just seawater pressure (@ 2,200 psi) + 400 psi exiting the BOP. This implies much more than just a frictional drop up 13,000’ of drill string, but some obstruction as well.
Since then sand entrained with the gas and oil has eroded the BOP and BP has stated that new observations of BOP pressures were “surprisingly lower” but gave no numerical data. OTOH, downhole, it is normal for wild wells to pull rocks as well as sand into the bore and clog things up.
However, this specific well has cased for production (later), which is designed to prevent being clogged up by produced rock and sand.
My GUESS is that the pressure drop downhole in the well bore is greater and drop across the BOP lower since Thad Allen leaked the pressure #s.
This also implies that the clogging the holes spewing that we can see does nothing, since they represent just a 400 psi drop. Raise that to 1,000 psi by reducing the size and that will feed back SLIGHTLY to the other, larger pressure drops.
One interesting observation is that the natural gas is dissolved in a super-critical fluid in the reservoir and begins to comes out of solution as it transits the BOP. Expanding gas is quite a force.
A major issue is inertia. Roughly 2 ft2 column coming up 13,000’ and a few feet/sec is quite a battering ram. Beyond that is a good sized reservoir. It has been sitting still for the last few million years, and now it begins to flow towards this new hole. Given the size (perhaps 100 million barrels) it will take months for all the oil to start flowing evenly towards the well. But that is another source of inertia which will continue to grow over time.
I am confused (me too) as to whether the Top Kill/Junk Shot is injecting mud & debris where the pressure once was seawater (@ 2,200 psi) + 400 psi or 8,000 to 9,000 psi.
I hope this helps a bit. I personally have very little hope for anything except the relief wells.
http://www.theoildrum.com/node/6522
well it’s looped cause I just compared two captures on windows
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