Daily presidential tracking poll (-15)

The Rasmussen report ^ | May 21, 2010 | Scott Rasmussen

[Siena Dreaming]

Oh, yeah. The -19 was also after the election results. The far left were depressed about that too.

[mountn man]

Oil Spill is a huge mess, job claims are up again, dow is down again. I could go on but ..... all of this is unexpected an Bush’s fault

IIRC, BEFORE Katrina hit, Bush mobilized relief efforts to right outside the expected damaged areas. Katrina veered east, and those relief convoys were moved to the damaged areas. While enroute, the levees let loose. Now, convoys making there way east, had to turn around, and go back to NOLA. Meanwhile, noone from Louisiana did anything for there own people.

Bush had things ready. His response was already waiting. He implemented what he could. And yet he is still blamed for everything that went wrong with Katrina.

Compare that to Obama, and the BP mess. Obama has done NOTHING (except what he does best-TALKTALKTALKTALKTALKTALKTALK) He puts together a group of scientists, who have no experience with oil rigs, to discuss what to do (more talking).

And yet the MSM is silent on Obamas Katrina.

They're silent on Obama and the Tennessee flooding.

They were silent on the Kentucky ice storm that left thousands without power in January, last year, while Obama has a SuperBowl party with $100 a pound Waygu beef, and $300 a bottle Krystal champagne.

[SandyLynn]

Hawthorn..as soon as I see the Ras Daily Tracking, the first thing I look for is YOUR post..you are the single voice of reason when it comes to the daily rating! Thank you for taking the time to do your figuring and posting it on here..you always give me a little bit of hope!

[Arrowhead1952]

What the hell is wrong with people

They have the collective IQ of this.

[dalight]

Because 2 days ago he was at -19 and the only thing he has done since then is demean Arizona with Mexico’s President, party, not talk to the press, Tennessee is underwater, Oil Spill is a huge mess, job claims are up again, dow is down again. I could go on but ..... all of this is unexpected an Bush’s fault

There is a cyclic element in the Rassmussen poll. It varies about 6 points or so over a period of two weeks more or less. So you need to watch the relative minimum and max to interpret what is happening. The testing of -19 for the first time since the passage of ObamaCare is significant in the extreme because it says that Obama's base is becoming disappointed again. Or at least the folks who were hopeful that ObamaCare was going to actually be a good thing for them.

Ultimately, I believe this new trend is based on the Arizona blunder that Obama has walked into and keeps cluelessly hammering on. This is kryptonite.

Today's -15 doesn't say anything definitive but it implies that the current cycle peak will be below -10 and most likely -12 or lower. Perhaps a more or less permanent net -2 point loss this last week.

[maddog55]

28% of Americans are complete idiots.

[maddog55]

So we educate or annihilate.

[Freedom56v2]

Your post intrigued me. How has Rass. destroyed his poll methodology? Are there articles about that? Interested in it as I have a statistician in the fam. :)

[LibLieSlayer]

You will have to go back to a February Hannity archive where Sean interviewed him. He said the country had changed and he changed his methodology to reflect the shift in dim registration and he weighs his polls accordingly. Even with the evidence that he has that republican registrations have increased... he still weighs his polls to reflect more favorably for the dims... and he changed it again when obama took him to task in the press. scotty's dad Carl was a master... scotty... not so much.

LLS