PPIC Statewide Survey - May 2010 Californians and Their Government 10

PPIC ^ | May 20, 2010 | PPIC

[SmokingJoe]

JUNE PRIMARY

With the June primaries less than a month away, the race for the Republican gubernatorial nomination has significantly tightened. Although Meg Whitman (38%) still leads Steve Poizner (29%) among Republican primary likely voters, there has been a stunning drop in her support since March. In January, Whitman led Poizner by 30 points (41% to 11%) and in March by 50 points (61% to 11%). Today, three in 10 voters are undecided, up 6 points since March, but far lower than in January (44%). Republican primary likely voters include the 12 percent of independent (decline-to-state) voters who say they will vote a Republican ballot. Decline-to-state voters may also choose a Democratic or nonpartisan ballot.
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“If the Republican primary for governor were being held today, and these were the candidates, who would you vote for?”
Republican primary likely voters only

Meg Whitman 38%
Steve Poizner 29
Someone else 2
Don’t know 31

The June Republican senatorial primary race remains close: Carly Fiorina (25%) and Tom Campbell (23%) are still in a dead heat, while Chuck DeVore’s support has doubled (8% March, 16% today). Thirty-six percent of Republican primary likely voters remain undecided. Fiorina (29%) and Campbell (25%) hold similar levels of support among men, with 29 percent undecided. Support for Fiorina (21%) and Campbell (20%) is similar among women, with 44 percent of women still undecided.
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“If the Republican primary for U.S. senator were being held today, and these were the candidates, who would you vote for?”
Republican primary likely voters only

Carly Fiorina 25%
Tom Campbell 23
Chuck DeVore 16
Someone else –
Don’t know 36