Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

How low can the euro go? Very. ( Why the Euro is headed for Dollar Parity)
Fortune ^ | 05/19/2010 | Kit R. Roane

Posted on 05/19/2010 6:48:21 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

Whether or not Gisele and Jay-Z are still dancing, the euro party looks to be over.

Briefly slumping to a four-year low against the dollar yesterday, the euro has gained the dubious distinction of being the worst-performing major currency this year. And more pain could be on the way, despite the $1 trillion aid package that bought the European Union's financial impresarios enough time to force some tough love on Greece and other debt-tipsy members.

Although the currency regained a bit of strength today, don't expect it to find momentum anytime soon. In fact, it could still have a ways to fall.

Concern over the eurozone's growth and its lingering fiscal morass has led several analysts to call for the euro, currently valued at about $1.24, to reach dollar parity before it stages any sort of rebound. In making his own call for parity, Christopher Wood, chief equity strategist at CLSA Asia Pacific Markets, said that the euro will become "fundamentally weak currency."

Part of the problem, says BNP Paribas, which called for dollar-euro parity by 2011, is that Europe will probably be forced to switch from using fiscal tools to monetary instruments in its attempt to heal the system. That would mean printing money, which, BNP Paribas notes, would send "the euro massively lower."

While such a move might be good for blue-chip European exporters (and the reason analysts are now quickly lifting profit estimates for the members of the Euro Stoxx 50), it is bad news for many other investors and savers who may be caught flat-footed.

Parity, of course, was where the euro began its tumultuous life in January 1999, shortly before an earlier group of eurozone naysayers managed to push it down a good deal further.

(Excerpt) Read more at money.cnn.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: dollar; eu; euro; greece

1 posted on 05/19/2010 6:48:22 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Below parity is not new. It was .96 to 1.00 in 2002.


2 posted on 05/19/2010 6:49:56 AM PDT by Don Corleone ("Oil the gun..eat the cannolis. Take it to the Mattress.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Don Corleone

I thought it was par when it was invented back in ‘02...


3 posted on 05/19/2010 6:52:04 AM PDT by Eric in the Ozarks (Impeachment !)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

In order to implement the NWO world Currency all currency needs to par.


4 posted on 05/19/2010 6:52:04 AM PDT by screaminsunshine (S)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Eric in the Ozarks

I thought it was par when it was invented back in ‘02...


No when invented the euro was pegged at 1.20 but you are
correct it fell that low (even lower) during that time.


5 posted on 05/19/2010 6:54:38 AM PDT by darkside321
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Eric in the Ozarks

First day of trading for Euro, 4 January 1999. Opened at 117.94 basis March 1999 futures, 117.85 spot. Traded down as low as 82.22 by October 2000.


6 posted on 05/19/2010 6:54:54 AM PDT by SAJ (Zerobama? A phony and a prick, ergo a dildo.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Don Corleone

That’s what I was wondering. Why does everyone think parity will be its bottom?


7 posted on 05/19/2010 6:58:44 AM PDT by RobRoy (The US Today: Revelation 18:4)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

The euro bottomed out in October, 2000 at about US$0.825, or something less than 83 cents US.

It hovered from around 85 cents to near-parity to a little over parity until early 2003 and then began a five-year ascent to nearly US$1.60 in mid-2008.

My own bet is that it will continue to decline toward, and perhaps even below parity over the next year or two or three.

And if the Europeans don’t kick one or more of the PIIGS out of the eurozone, the euro may ultimately collapse completely.


8 posted on 05/19/2010 7:02:55 AM PDT by sitetest ( If Roe is not overturned, no unborn child will ever be protected in law.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: screaminsunshine

There will be no currency, cashless societies...


9 posted on 05/19/2010 7:40:08 AM PDT by seeker41 (CULPRIT CHINESE COMPANY INFO.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Any way to bet on the euro future through investments? Like Soros did with the dollar a couple of years ago? I wonder where Soros position is now, betting against the euro?


10 posted on 05/19/2010 7:49:11 AM PDT by rawhide
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Don Corleone

Could’ve sworn it was around .88 when I was in Ireland. 2003?


11 posted on 05/19/2010 8:10:42 AM PDT by sbMKE
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: sbMKE
CHART OF THE EURO vs USD SINCE THE EURO's INCEPTION

Here is the Source


12 posted on 05/19/2010 8:17:13 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Germany, Greece and Exiting the Eurozone

Euro Battles Back Amid Greece Exit Chatter (Rumors or...?)

Major Investment Bank: "Greece Is Going Down, Germany Drafting Law For Orderly Insolvencies"

Europe Closes And Selling Gets Worse: Dow Falls 160, NASDAQ Down 1.8%


13 posted on 05/19/2010 10:27:13 AM PDT by Star Traveler (Remember to keep the Messiah of Israel in the One-World Government that we look forward to coming)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: rawhide
You can trade Eurocurrency futures on the Chicago Merc's IMM exchange. Very liquid. Trade units are €125,000 or €62,500 (the 'e-mini'). These contracts are EUR vs USD.

You can trade Euro vs ANY other currency in the spot mkt, in virtually any denomination you like. I recommend (and deal with) Saxo Bank in Denmark. Very competent, scrupulously honest.

Good trading to you!

14 posted on 05/20/2010 9:14:54 AM PDT by SAJ (Zerobama? A phony and a prick, ergo a dildo.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind
When the Euro reaches parity, we can buy all of them there are for a handful of these:


15 posted on 05/20/2010 9:22:53 AM PDT by Brugmansian
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson