I’m still predicting he’ll never last that long, once NOVEMBER gets here. Lame duck, impeached, whatever it takes to GET HIS POWER AWAY FROM HIM BEFORE AMERICA IS IRRETRIEVABLY LOST. >:-(
But, I gotta say, that won't happen. BO's legacy *must* be protected, at all costs. Can't have "The First Black One-Term Presidential Failure". So - IMHO - if it starts to look like he's going to fall flat on his face, I'd give it about a 1 in 3 chance for him to "decline to run for re-election" based on "Health Problems", or somesuch.
If Hillary! gets out of her SoS job before November of this year (so that she doesn't get splattered by the epic failure of the Dems) ... I'd up the chances of my scenario to 60-40 or better.
A lot depends on whether his ego will let him step aside, or not. I think that I'd rather retire a beloved leader (ok, he's not on FR, but in some places...) than stick around 2 or 3 years longer than necessary and get savaged like Bush did.
And Bush, for all of his faults, still did a fair amount of things right.... the press would have a field day with BO, especially if he gets elected to a 2nd term and they don't need to cover for him anymore.
Just my opinion.