I had mentioned this possibility a couple days ago - that if Israel were to launch an attack that passes over Iraqi airspace, and the military were to stand down, that would create an enormous problem, in effect becoming insubordinate to the CIC (Obozo) and ROE. By allowing a flyover, the world would charge that we are supporting the attack. Politically, Obama doesn’t want this. So it would come down to two choices for the White House if the military did nothing:
1. Admit that it has no control of the military.
2. Admit that it gave clearance to attack, and drawing us into a war with Iran, thereby infurating the liberal base.
Israel would have to gamble that if we shot the planes down, both sides would keep it quiet, i.e., it never happened, and let the fists fly between the diplomats behind closed doors.
It isn’t even a remote possibility that the American military would disobey lawful orders from the President. The closest thing to this occurring is the military would just play dumb and not tell Obama that the planes were there. Even that scenario is a stretch.