[nathanbedford]

Seriously, now that you reminded me, I do recall that Rasmussen claims that his strongly approve/strongly disapprove polls are predictive of the general polls. Without having closely studied the data, my impression since the inauguration is that the strongly disapprove group has in fact predicted a growing group of those who generally disapprove.

I think you and I agree that they are predictive also of intensity. So we have movement in the right direction and we have intensity.

Now it is only a matter of predicting how the Republicans will screw this up.

Are you academically trained in statistics or polling? Or are you just a great writer?

[Hawthorn]

>> Are you academically trained in statistics or polling? <<

Statistics just a tad (6 semester hours), polling not at all.