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To: Hawthorn
Just the other day I was considering the difficulty of fitting historical data to the model by deriving correlation coefficients, investigating alternative model formulations, doing statistical confidence tests on the various coefficients, and (finally!) testing the resulting models against independent data that weren’t used for deriving the models’ parameters.

But then I thought, It’s something that could be studied by using standard tools of statistical modeling like multivariate regression analysis

So, it occurred to me that If I had the mathematical chops, the proper software (SPSS, etc.) and the time, I’d love to try fitting Nerlovian lags to the data

But then I thought, my life ain't got no purpose, my life ain't got no direction, if I think about it too much it gives me an erection. So I said, reaching for the gin, "oh, bother, what Hawthorn said!"


157 posted on 04/18/2010 8:09:10 AM PDT by nathanbedford ("Attack, repeat, attack!" Bull Halsey)
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To: nathanbedford

You write very well!


159 posted on 04/18/2010 9:35:22 AM PDT by Hawthorn
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