If the average is near zero ( as has been the case for the last few years) then "above average is about the only way to go isn't it? You'll have better luck with a magic eight ball than listening to these "experts"
Posted on 04/07/2010 7:13:28 PM PDT by NormsRevenge
MIAMI (Reuters) – The 2010 Atlantic hurricane season will produce an above-average eight hurricanes, four of them major, posing a heightened threat to the U.S. coastline, the Colorado State University hurricane forecasting team predicted on Wednesday.
In its second forecast in four months for the 2010 season, the leading storm research team founded by hurricane forecast pioneer William Gray said the six-month season beginning on June 1 would likely see 15 named tropical storms.
The team forecast a 69 percent chance of at least one major hurricane making landfall on the U.S. coastline in 2010, compared with a long-term average probability of 52 percent.
Major hurricanes pack powerful sustained winds of at least 111 miles per hour (178 km per hour).
For the Gulf Coast, from the Florida Panhandle west to Brownsville, Texas, including the Gulf of Mexico oil patch, the probability of a major hurricane making landfall was seen at 44 percent versus a long-term average of 30 percent, the Colorado State University team said.
"While patterns may change before the start of the hurricane season, we believe current conditions warrant concern for an above-average season," Gray said in a statement.
An average Atlantic season has about 10 tropical storms, of which six become hurricanes.
The Colorado State University team also predicted a 58 percent chance of a major hurricane tracking into the Caribbean, where Haiti is vulnerable after a devastating January 12 earthquake that left more than a million people homeless.
(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...
“It’s Bush’s fault. Women and children hurt the most.”
You forgot minorities; they are also among the most hurt since they are able to buy lottery tickets using our money.
“Activity has indeed been higher than average the majority of years since 1995.”
You make a good point. I’ve noticed there are more major storms than normal nearly half the time - tell Algore!
5.56mm
Sure. Why not?
If the average is near zero ( as has been the case for the last few years) then "above average is about the only way to go isn't it? You'll have better luck with a magic eight ball than listening to these "experts"
William Gray is a Global Warming Skeptic! He's one of us on this issue.
So don't knock this guy too quickly.
News Flash!
This is the EXACT SAME PREDICTION EVERY YEAR, FOR YEARS EVEN BEFORE KATRINA!
AND ITS ALWAYS WRONG!!!!!!!
Here in Florida, this is a running joke with friends.
Who can find the first “WORST HURRICANE SEASON EVER!!!!” news story OF THE SEASON
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.