To take the Falklands, the Argentines would take at least 10,000 casualties this time around.
yes, at least.
I agree. The Brits have had near 30 years to beef up and study defense of the islands. Their submarine force negates any impact of the Argentine navy.
Personnel fired anti aircraft rockets are 1-2 generations ahead of what was available 30 years ago.
The Argies could win but it would be at significant cost.