Have you posted your analysis that I can read somewhere?
My analysis was done PDQ. I googled the Bush over Kerry states. Then I looked at the remainder, and looked at REALCLEARPOLITICS to find their “leaning left/leaning right” to pick out the “Kerry’s” that are considering conservatives for GOV or Senate. I pulled out the impossibles... and pretty much winged it.
I figured... Bush over Kerry, 31 states, count those
19 Kerry States:
Easiest: PA, MI, NH,
Next: DE, WA, CO, VT, MN, VT, IL
Tough: MA, NH, ME, MD, RI, NJ, CT, NY, WI, OR, CA, HI
But now I just read the article below, so MI and WA could be counted with 31 + PA + MI + NH + WA = 35. So, three of: DE, CO, VT, MN, IL
So... if there were a pro-original COTUS amendment to protect us from ObamaCare that would be acceptable to, say, Colorado and Vermont — then I think it could pass. The thing is, those with the passion to author an amendment must realize the limits set by the 38th State.
From the link below, the fact that Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Washington are motivated — that is a powerful indication that the Amendment path could definitely work.
I’m also thinking that a couple “blue” New England states have a surprising “don’t tread on me” ethos that might be ready to rise to this occasion.
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE62L4GC20100322
The article lists eleven AGs who will file a collective lawsuit for states including Florida, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Utah and Washington.