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If anyone is absolutely certain that they’re getting worse, they could make money from that certainty by buying up contracts at Intrade.

Current Events - Earthquakes
Will a magnitude 9.0 earthquake occur?
Contract Bid Ask Last Vol Chge
9.0.MAG.E-QUAKE.2010
A magnitude 9.0 or greater earthquake to occur anywhere before midnight ET 31 Dec 2010 M Trade 0.6 9.5 - 0 0
9.0.MAG.E-QUAKE.2011
A magnitude 9.0 or greater earthquake to occur anywhere before midnight ET 31 Dec 2011 M Trade 9.0 17.9 10.0 20 0

71 posted on 02/27/2010 8:53:21 PM PST by Kevmo (So America gets what America deserves - the destruction of its Constitution. ~Leo Donofrio, 6/1/09)

That is pretty neat.

I would think that it certainly would be a solid wager for the 9+ before the new year sure.

73 posted on 02/27/2010 8:56:45 PM PST by winoneforthegipper ("If you can't ride two horses at once, you probably shouldn't be in the circus" - SP)