[PapaBear3625]

Lowest point was on 22-Dec: -21

I tend to not put too much weight on the daily numbers, paying more attention to the weekly averages. By that measure, Obama has been on a steady downtrend since he took office.

He did a big slip from January to June, stayed static through the summer, and then in the fall resumed his down trend.

The current state is important in what it indicates about the future. Obama likely has a small percentage of strong supporters left among the white middle class. In parties and in the work place, people increasingly can make disparaging remarks about Obama without triggering a tirade from a strong supporter. This will work to further erode his popularity going into the 2010 election season.

[wayoverontheright]

In parties and in the work place, people increasingly can make disparaging remarks about Obama without triggering a tirade from a strong supporter.

Yes, Obama supporters in my circle of friends have gone silent. He is embarrassing them.

I have a Canadian friend who asked me prior to the election why I didn't like Obama. I replied to her that I was once a lefty and I can recognize a die-hard Marxist when I see one. I said that if he got elected he was going to turn the country into Cuba.

She's a very sweet person and later I began to feel I'd been too harsh in my analogy. Maybe I should have said France, I thought. Or perhaps Europe. Cuba. Wow. Can anyone deny now that that's where we'd be headed without Democracy standing in his way?

I never took back the Cuba analogy. I feel vindicated now. She doesn't want to talk about it.

[Norseman]

>>The current state is important in what it indicates about the future. Obama likely has a small percentage of strong supporters left among the white middle class. In parties and in the work place, people increasingly can make disparaging remarks about Obama without triggering a tirade from a strong supporter. This will work to further erode his popularity going into the 2010 election season. <<

Exactly. This is what happened with Bush when the war in Iraq obviously went south for several years running. Liberals had plenty to crow about and conservatives had few good answers, so the liberal viewpoint tended to go unchallenged in the coffee shops and bars.

Now it’s reversed and it’s our time to turn up the volume. As you said, he still has supporters outside his base, but as long as we stick to the facts, they have no answer to what are valid criticisms. I would emphasize the importance though of sticking to the facts. The facts are sufficiently disparaging without having to tack on the name-calling. And we’ll be taken more seriously as well.

Two or three conservatives having a serious, no-name-calling, conversation in front of a few moderate/independent voters about where Obama is trying to take the country will swing votes, but more important right now, is they will tend to go unchallenged as the left gets driven into embarrassed silence. (As we were when the war went badly for time-—too long a time.)