“And it’s raising the question of whether the president’s 2008 win was the result of a unique set of circumstances that will be difficult for him to replicate again and perhaps downright impossible for other Democrats on the ballot to reprise.”
Obama won by running a “Blame Bush” campaign. It’s quite simple actually.
My current Marxist congressman (Mark “golden” Schauer) has pretty much admitted that his win in this traditionally republican district was the result of Obama being on the ticket.
People who didn’t normally vote turned out to vote for Obama and mostly voted straight ticket because they didn’t know any of the other names on the ballot. He still only won by 2%. I don’t see how he can replicate that when he has to run on his own.
My conservative choice (Tim Walberg) is leading by 10 points or more in early polling.