Wondering if the Marxists are planning to confiscate the trillions of dollars held as Life Insurance Reserves. If, in fact, they are still *real money*.
Does the FED Reserve report includ all the Employer Benefit GROUP LIFE INSURANCE? If those benefit programs are replaced or taken over by the Federal Government - what happens to the Life Insurance premiums/reserves?
http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/z1/current/accessible/l117.htm
The US treasury owns $68 billion in AIG preferred stock, senior to its other preferred issues, and to the common. (Note that of an up to $30 billion total of the series F preferred approved for issue to the treasury, only $3 billion has been tapped). In the market as of Friday, the common had a value of $3 billion. The AFF series yields about 12%; the price is up to $14 from a low of $1.27 a share during the crisis, and $2 after the bailout. AIG has $70 billion in tangible book value as of its most recent quarterly sheet.
AIG has $400 billion of insurance float. Meaning, it receives the interest on that much capital without needing to pay to borrow it, between the time it earns premiums for insurance written and the time it pays out on future claims. There is every reason to expect that float will generate a continual earning power in the ten billion a year range. For example, in 2006 it earned $22 billion.
When corporate bonds were trading at 60-80 cents on the dollar to yield 10-15% on great depression level default fears, AIG was insolvent. But with corporate bonds trading near par to yield 5-6%, it is solvent, and will earn money to rise above the break even point already reached last year.
It may easily take 3-5 years to have a total workout and repayment to the treasury. But the treasury is already covered by assets fully worth what it put in to the company. Barring any new smash equal to the last in that time frame, the US treasury will get out whole.
What we see here, for the nth time, is the delusions of one entry accounting. A cash flow isn't a loss; buying a company's security with assets behind it, is not throwing the money away.
How much more? As of September of 2009, $71 billion more. Enough to cover the entire treasury investment. The common stock, which is junior to the treasury stuff, has a market value of $3 billion as of Friday.
AIG is solvent, and its valuable assets fully cover the investment the treasury made. Understand, at the lows of the whole market early in 2009, AIG was indeed underwater, and there was then a serious risk of eventual loss to the treasury. But AIGs main asset, corporate bonds, were on a tear all last year, and brought it back into the black.