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New Poll Shows Jim Moran Is Vulnerable [Matthew Berry within 3% of Moran!]
Berry2010.com ^ | February 1, 2010 | Matthew Berry

Posted on 02/01/2010 7:10:37 AM PST by AuH2ORepublican

New Poll Shows Jim Moran Is Vulnerable

The Tarrance Group recently conducted a poll for our campaign of likely voters in Virginia’s 8th District that makes two things clear: (1) Jim Moran is vulnerable in 2010; and (2) I am the Republican candidate who can beat him.

First, our poll found that Northern Virginians are clearly tiring of Jim Moran’s ethical lapses and offensive statements, and they are ready to see him go. Specifically, only 38% of likely voters believe that Jim Moran deserves to be re-elected. The plurality of likely voters, 40%, believe that it is time to give someone new a chance, while the rest of respondents were not sure.

Second, our poll found that I am the Republican candidate who can beat Jim Moran. In an informed head-to-head, when my background and experience are described to likely voters, as well as Jim Moran’s, the race is within the margin of error: Jim Moran 44%; Matthew Berry 41%. While there remain significantly more Democrats than Republicans in Virginia’s 8th District, the contest is a statistical dead-heat because I am able to win the independent vote and earn a significant share of the Democratic vote as well.

(Excerpt) Read more at berry2010.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: 111th; jimmoran; matthewberry; moran; va08; va2010
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To: AuH2ORepublican

He looks like Wayne Duval from O brother where art thou.

21 posted on 02/01/2010 8:38:09 AM PST by bmwcyle (Free the Navy Seals)
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To: bmwcyle

haha! “is you is, or is you ain’t my consti-chints?” i love that movie...


22 posted on 02/01/2010 8:41:08 AM PST by latina4dubya ( self-proclaimed tequila snob)
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To: AuH2ORepublican

The is great news. I’d love to see that hot head liberal nut be put in his rightful place, the unemployment line. This will be a tough race though and Berry is going to need lots of cash.


23 posted on 02/01/2010 8:43:13 AM PST by Maelstorm (We are umbilicaled to a parasitic beast that feeds off one man so to enslave another to dependency.)
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To: AuH2ORepublican

“I strongly oppose the government takeover of the health care system supported by President Obama, Jim Moran and Congressional Democrats.” More: http://berry2010.com/issues/health-care/

With happiness, I’m sending him some money.

I used to live a couple of blocks from Moran in Alexandria. He jogged around at times in too-short shorts. His legs are fat and pink. He did less jogging than chatting up his fawning neighbors who treated him like a celebrity. My neighbor across the street, Judy, gushed, “He’s like our very own Kennedy!”

Can’t make this stuff up, folks.


24 posted on 02/01/2010 8:47:10 AM PST by fullchroma (Obama: GET OUT OF MY DOCTOR'S OFFICE!)
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To: fullchroma

Regarding your story about Moran, I shouldn’t have read that so soon after wolfing down my lunch. : )


25 posted on 02/01/2010 9:22:39 AM PST by AuH2ORepublican (If a politician won't protect innocent babies, what makes you think that he'll protect your rights?)
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To: fullchroma

our own Kennedy...I’m guessing your neighbor has no idea how apt that is.


26 posted on 02/01/2010 10:12:50 AM PST by jaydubyagee
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To: AuH2ORepublican

It is interesting that the poll conducted by the Berry camp is only a head to head poll -— Berry vs. Moran. There are 4 other Republicans to choose from for the nomination. I suspect that you could plug any one of the candidates into that same poll and get close to the same results. It’s not a pro-Berry poll, it’s an anti-Moran poll.


27 posted on 02/01/2010 10:15:04 AM PST by socciforcongress (Socci For Congress)
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To: AuH2ORepublican

I suspect this is the poll Mr. Berry is promoting:

http://crewt.blogspot.com/2010/01/matthew-berry-push-poll.html


28 posted on 02/01/2010 10:15:07 AM PST by socciforcongress (Socci For Congress)
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To: socciforcongress

Mr. Socci, I don’t think it is productive to be spreading liberal talking points about fellow conservative Republicans whose goals are the same as yours (defeating Jim Moran this November), at least not without pointing out that you do not agree with such an assessment.

I don’t know the liberal blogger that posts the “Thoughts and Musings from the Left” to which you linked, but I do know that he does not understand what the derogatory term “push poll” means. A push poll is when, under the guise of conducting a legitimate public-opinion poll, the polling group merely provides false and/or scandalous information about one of the candidates with the aim of hurting such candidate in the election. A poll whose intent is to gauge how strong (or, as it turned out, weak) Moran’s support is among voters informed of his background (and of Matthew Berry’s background) is by no means a push poll. It shows extreme ignorance for that leftist blogger to believe that he was subjected to a push poll, since (i) only if a campaign had unlimited funding (which no Republican candidate in the VA-08 has or will have) would it even consider conducting a push poll so many months prior to the election (push polls are conducted by scumbags close to the election so as not to give the opponent time to respond) and (ii) The Tarrance Group, which conducted the poll, has a sterling reputation among Republicans nationwide to protect and would never agree to conduct a push poll.

As for the fact that neither you nor the other Republican candidates were included in the poll’s questions, well, the poll was an internal poll paid for by Matthew Berry’s campaign, and while Mr. Berry has posted excellent fund-raising numbers (see http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2426155/posts ), I’m sure that he cannot afford to use his campaign funds to run polls for general-election match-ups for candidates other than him. Given the poll’s finding that only 38% of likely voters believe that Moran deserves reelection (with 40% believing that he does not and the rest undecided), you may well be correct that you or the other Republican candidates would also do relatively well in a general-election match-up with Moran, but I would guess that no other candidate would do as well as Matthew Berry given his particular background and cross-partisan appeal. You are certainly welcome to prove me wrong by hiring a reputable private pollster to conduct a poll of a Moran vs. Socci match-up (or convincing a public pollster to conduct such a poll for free).

In the end, we are all on the same team here, and we need for whomever emerges victorious from the primary to have the support of the other Republican candidates so as to build a winning coalition of Republicans, independents, moderate-to-conservative Democrats, and even liberals sick of having an anti-Semitic hothead representing them. I trust that you will abide by the pledge you made in the “Thoughts and Musings from the Left” blogspot to run a campaign on the issues and not engage in ad hominem attacks not just in the general election, but also in the GOP primary.


29 posted on 02/01/2010 11:45:27 AM PST by AuH2ORepublican (If a politician won't protect innocent babies, what makes you think that he'll protect your rights?)
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To: AuH2ORepublican
Yes, he’s gay, but he’s certainly not part of the “Gay Mafia” that pushes judicially created same-sex marriage or discussions of “fisting” in school.

He'll have to come up with a position on the Defense of Marriage Act (DOMA) which is on Obama's agenda to repeal.

30 posted on 02/01/2010 2:51:30 PM PST by HokieMom (Pacepa : Can the U.S. afford a president who can't recognize anti-Americanism?)
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To: HokieMom

I’m sure that he will announce his position when asked. He’s a federalist, so I doubt that he’d be opposed to a federal law that allows states not to recognize same-sex marriages from other states.


31 posted on 02/01/2010 3:03:14 PM PST by AuH2ORepublican (If a politician won't protect innocent babies, what makes you think that he'll protect your rights?)
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To: AuH2ORepublican

Agreed, not very good re elect numbers for Moran.


32 posted on 02/02/2010 8:03:35 AM PST by CPT Clay (Pick up your weapon and follow me.)
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