Can you provide the link to view the results on the web?
Calculation: if Dems are 40 percent of the vote, at a 22 percent share Brown gets 8.8 percent; if Reps are 15 percent of the vote, he gets 99 percent share or 15 percent; if the remaining are independents, or 45 percent and Brown gets a 60 percent share, he gets 27 points to win 51-49. I personally think he gets a higher percentage of the Indies, and will win 53-46.