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To: SmokingJoe

He probably polled more recently than last week, but is nervous about what it said, so spiked it.My guess.


20 posted on 01/18/2010 5:23:21 PM PST by Chet 99
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To: Chet 99

“but is nervous about what it said, so spiked it.My guess”

That’s been my opinion...

Specials are notoroiously hard to poll, and he doesn’t want to stake his reputation on this one, especially after NY-23.

He’s taking the easy out, and frankly, with the amount of money, dirty tricks, and fraud the Dems are pulling out, I don’t blame him.


33 posted on 01/18/2010 5:30:53 PM PST by tcrlaf (Obama White House=Tammany Hall on the National Mall)
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To: Chet 99
Sounds pretty weaselly to me.
In an elections where the momentum has changed so much in the past week, you need to conduct constant polls, in order to be relevant.
Suffolk University first had Coakley ahead by a massive 30% just a few weeks ago, then had Brown ahead by 4% last week, and then just today, they came out with a prediction of a 10% win for Brown from their latest polls.
Suffolk Pollster predicts 10 point Brown win
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2431171/posts?q=1&;page=54

In such a fast moving enviroment, the latest data is the only thing that counts.
How the heck is Rasmussen able to find the time to do this poll of what the rest of the country wants to happen in Massachusetts tomorrow, yet can't find the time to do a poll in Massachusetts of the US Senate elections tomorrow?
Weak!

40 posted on 01/18/2010 5:38:53 PM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: Chet 99
He probably polled more recently than last week, but is nervous about what it said, so spiked it.My guess.

My feeling as well.

Rasmussen is a smart guy and he knows that we expected a poll from him today. That's why he's writing this CYA article and appearing on Fox News. I think he smells a rat. The polling just doesn't look right to him for some reason. And remember, he has polling data from MA for several elections so he can look back and compare what he is seeing now with previous polls and previous outcomes.

So if you want to put your tinfoil hat on you might consider the possibility that Ras has a pretty good feel for the level of voter fraud that could be expected in this election and he knows that will throw off his poll. So he spikes his own poll just to preserve his reputation. Scary thought.

51 posted on 01/18/2010 5:51:06 PM PST by InterceptPoint
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To: Chet 99
He probably polled more recently than last week, but is nervous about what it said, so spiked it.My guess.

That'd be my guess - no way he hasn't done another poll.

But he's going to be remembered for this - his reputation will be toast.

66 posted on 01/18/2010 6:18:42 PM PST by maine-iac7 ("He has the right to criticize who has the heart to help" Lincoln)
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