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MA Special Election EVE: Check out trend on INTRADE !! -- WOW ! ++ LIVE ++
INTRADE ^ | LIVE | Intrade MARKET PREDICTION

Posted on 01/18/2010 3:07:18 PM PST by davidosborne

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1 posted on 01/18/2010 3:07:19 PM PST by davidosborne
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To: davidosborne

I don’t know if I’d trust intrade. Sounds like script kiddie fodder. My take... anything with public access can be gained. Lots of kids out there that know how to totally obliterate these online polls when the need arises. Surely there are savy adults with political interests in mind that could as well.


2 posted on 01/18/2010 3:09:55 PM PST by Aqua225 (Paranoid about polling.)
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To: davidosborne

My contacts tell me that last night about 6 inches of snow fell in northeastern Massachusetts. Don’t know how much that will affect turnout.


3 posted on 01/18/2010 3:10:49 PM PST by 17th Miss Regt
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To: Aqua225

never trust polls

call for SCOT BROWN TONIGHT... AND TOMORROW...... DONT TRUST ANYTHING BUT A VICTORY.. DONT BELIEVE ANYTHING BUT VICTORY...... KEEP IT UP AND WE WILL WIN.....


4 posted on 01/18/2010 3:11:28 PM PST by gibtx2 (keep up the good work I am out of work but post 20 a month to this out of WF Check)
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To: Aqua225

Aqua225,

Intrade is not about POLLS... its about putting your money where your mouth is... LOL -— Is is a “stock market” of probability and predictions ...


5 posted on 01/18/2010 3:11:53 PM PST by davidosborne (DavidOsborneDotZurvitaDotBiz)
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To: gibtx2

intrade is NOT a poll folks...


6 posted on 01/18/2010 3:13:50 PM PST by davidosborne (DavidOsborneDotZurvitaDotBiz)
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To: davidosborne

It’s now Brown 77 and Coakley 26.


7 posted on 01/18/2010 3:13:52 PM PST by Man50D (Fair Tax, you earn it, you keep it! www.FairTaxNation.com)
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To: davidosborne

79-22 (Odds, not percentages). It’s like 4:1 in favor of Scott.


8 posted on 01/18/2010 3:13:59 PM PST by Lonesome in Massachussets (Don't blame me, I'm from Massachusetts)
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To: Aqua225

Intrade is NOT a poll.

PS - Welcome to FR.


9 posted on 01/18/2010 3:14:23 PM PST by tatown (Obama is Kenyan for "turd")
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To: davidosborne

Yeah, but a $10 call is not a lot of dough to bet on a deal that could have billions of dollars in consequences (ie., healthcare). An election campaign or say national political party could easily afford to blow money to pump up positions in one direction or another.


10 posted on 01/18/2010 3:15:44 PM PST by Aqua225 (Paranoid about polling.)
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To: davidosborne
Brown is now at close to 80.

And yes, I know it can be gamed, but it still looks nice.

11 posted on 01/18/2010 3:16:00 PM PST by PapaBear3625 (Public healthcare looks like it will work as well as public housing did.)
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To: davidosborne
MEANWHILE, WTF is up is Ras?

I didn't think that he/they were biased, but this is making me nervous.

Even if Ras chose not to do (WHY I CAN'T FATHOM) a last Poll, that should not account for their site being down all day.

Something is not kosher here and I can't put my finger on it.

12 posted on 01/18/2010 3:16:38 PM PST by Conservative Vermont Vet ((One of ONLY 37 Conservatives in the People's Republic of Vermont. Socialists and Progressives All))
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To: Aqua225

huh?


13 posted on 01/18/2010 3:19:31 PM PST by davidosborne (DavidOsborneDotZurvitaDotBiz)
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To: Conservative Vermont Vet

Ras sure was comfortable using his poll from last week to suggest a small lead for Coakley during his interview with Hannity today. What an idiot. Does he NOT realize that much as changed since his last poll??? Damn his poll didn’t even reflect the debate!


14 posted on 01/18/2010 3:19:36 PM PST by tatown (Obama is Kenyan for "turd")
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To: Aqua225

It takes a lot more than $10 to move the numbers on intrade. The total volume for this race is over 14,000 shares trading hands.


15 posted on 01/18/2010 3:21:05 PM PST by arista
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To: arista

exactly ... I think a lot of folks don’t understand intrade.. LOL


16 posted on 01/18/2010 3:22:52 PM PST by davidosborne (DavidOsborneDotZurvitaDotBiz)
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To: arista

Check his FR birth date...


17 posted on 01/18/2010 3:22:55 PM PST by tatown (Obama is Kenyan for "turd")
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To: tatown

aaahhhhhh that explains a lot I missed that my FRiend..


18 posted on 01/18/2010 3:24:22 PM PST by davidosborne (DavidOsborneDotZurvitaDotBiz)
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To: tatown
They are staying away from this one. The Mass myth has them all jummpy . They are petrified to call this for Brown. It matters not a wit what these cowards think.
19 posted on 01/18/2010 3:25:30 PM PST by fantom (,)
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To: davidosborne

Watching the Intrade numbers must be causing the a strain on the pucker gauge... :0)


20 posted on 01/18/2010 3:27:02 PM PST by tatown (Obama is Kenyan for "turd")
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