[UAConservative]

Coakley loses one-in-five Democrats to Brown, while the Republican state senator has 94 percent of Republicans behind him.

That's the death knell right there.

[gibtx2]

http://www.volunteer-connect.com/brownma/Login/Login.aspx?ReturnUrl=%2fbrownMA%2fHome%2fHome.aspx

Call for Brown from home. I did ... Freep this

[chilltherats]

But registered rats outnumber registered pubs 3:1. That’s 75-25. So, if 1 in 5 rats vote for Brown, that’s 15 votes from the rats. 94% of the 25 pubs who say they’ll vote for Brown would be 23.5 - call it 24. 15 +24=39. Subtracting the 15 Brown votes from the 75 rats leaves 60 rats voting for the hag. 60-39=21 more votes for the hag than for Brown. Therefore, Brown has to make up those 21 votes plus enough to prevent him from succumbing to rat vote fraud all from independents. Brown is way up with independents, but they’re mercurial, so we shall see.