Tiger, I like your analysis better than the article’s.
I felt the writer fell short in not considering Chinese intervention to prevent SK/NK reunification. Also, he did not consider the income that would be generated by NK as it adopts capitalism. I expect a great surge in GNP, for the people will have opportunity and hope and food. They already know how to work.
I agree the reunification will be more difficult than Germany’s, but N. Koreans are not East Germans. They will be ecstatic over survival and hope of improvment.
Finally, the writer did not consider the influence of Christianity. SK has a zealous Christian community and so does NK. I expect substantial evangelization of the North, from within and without. Do not discount the Christian community worldwide from pouring billions in aid to this poor nation.
Yes, Christians will play important role. Pyongyang was the center of Christianity in Korea until Kim Il-sung turned up and made it a communist hell hole. It is their historical duty to take back their religious bastion.