What gives?
What gives is just the normal sampling error that you get when you poll maybe a thousand people and try to project what 300,000,000 are thinking. What counts are the average polling data over longer periods and the trends that they show. Take a look at markomally's 10 day moving average or my 60 day average and you will see the trends much more clearly. Dont' worry yourself to death about the day to day fluctuations. Watch the month to month change. That tells the tale.
Here are my 60 average plots from a day or two ago. Each point on the plots represents the average value for the previous 60 days. The averages for the first 60 days after January 21, 2009 are simply the average of all the previous days. After about late March all points are 60 day averages. You can see that the trends are clearly and consistently going against Obama. That's what counts.
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