At this stage, it would be silly to let the bill hinge on Nelson's objection. Harry will cave and give Nelson what he wants -- no federally-funded abortion. He'll also buy off Bernie Sanders and grease Roland Burris' palm.
Then, the bill will pass the Senate on a party-line vote.
Then, the fun will begin in the Conference Committee -- where the House conferees will insist on retaining their public option and abortion provision -- and will go berserk over the Senate's individual mandate without a public option.
The House simply will not accept the Senate bill. And the Senate cannot accept the House bill. It will be bloody.
And, in the end, I would expect a.) the House bill to prevail so that b.) Harry would be forced to use the reconciliation process in the Senate.
I just read a press release from Mitch McConnel in which he says the bill that’s being considered now isn’t even the one to be voted on later. That bill is in Sen Reid’s possesion and has been seen by no one outside his staff. The press release is linked at Drudge. It probably deserves it’s own thread here.