Today's poll is significant for several reasons:
- It is the first day that he has reached a -15 approval index
- It is the first day that he has reached an overall 54% disapproval
- Ir is tied with 8/30 as the lowest strong approval at 42%
- It is tied with 9/1 as the lowest overall approval rating at 45%
Of course, we have to know that this is a one day result and so we shouldn't be surprised if it is down tomorrow. But it pushes the trend a little bit further.
The last week has been his lowest week ever. Three -14 days in a row followed by one -10 then back to -13 and now -15.
I'm thinking -16 by Dec.1, and -20 by Jan.1.
His lowest Strong Approval was 26. He's been pretty constant at 27.
His regular or somewhat Approval is 18 and regular or somawhat Disapproval is at 12. Meaning, that his die hard supporters are holding fast, but the average approval/disapproval are moving over fast.
I'm thinking he might drop to 25 Strong Approve by Jan.1
I want to see 24 Strong Approve vs. 48 Strong Disapprove. That would be -24, but more telling would be a 2:1 ratio of Strong Disapprove to Strong Approve.
At that point he'll probably be at 40% total approval vs 60% total disapproval.
I'd like to see 33% vs 66% or 2:1 disapproval, but I doubt real polls will be around by then.