If it goes to reconciliation they only need 50 votes in the Senate and Biden will cast the tiebreaker.
It wont go to reconciliation. There are too many problems with that route. Only provisions related to the budget would be allowed to stay. For ex, the ban on excluding preexisting conditions would be stripped out.
Also, since reconciliation is for budget bills, the process would be guided by Kent Conrad chair of the Budget Committee. Key RATS dont want him having that power over the language cause he's not liberal enough.
Why do people fear reconciliation? That would be almost a victory as far as I’m concerned. Why? Because it would gut most of the worst features of the bill. And because it could be nullified in five years—unless the Congress went through this whole process once again. Ain’t gonna happen. It was a bluff—and the GOP called it.