Posted on 11/12/2009 12:49:12 AM PST by bruinbirdman
Chinas central bank acknowledged the case for a stronger renminbi, days ahead of the arrival in Beijing of US president Barack Obama for talks expected to highlight mounting international concern over Chinese currency policy
The US dollar continued to decline on Thursday while gold reached a new record high after Chinas central bank acknowledged the case for a stronger renminbi, days ahead of the arrival in Beijing of US president Barack Obama for talks expected to highlight mounting international concern over Chinese currency policy.
Mr Obamas visit, as part of an Asian tour, also comes as the US dollar hits a 15-month low on a trade-weighted basis, raising questions about its future as the global reserve currency.
Chinese president Hu Jintao, followed by
Singaporean counterpart S.R.Nathan, at a
welcoming ceremony in Singapore ahead
of a summit of Asia-Pacific leaders
The Australian dollar rose as much as 0.8 per cent to US$0.9296 against Wednesdays level; the Japanese yen edged up 0.2 per cent to Y89.68 per US dollar, while the South Korean won touched Won1,152.70 per US dollar, 0.4 per cent higher than the previous day.
Gold advanced 0.4 per cent to US$1,121.90 an ounce, compared with the closing price in New York of US$1,117.45, as investors continued to see the bullion as an attractive diversification away from dollar reserves.
The Peoples Bank of China on Wednesday said foreign exchange policy would take into account capital flows and major currency movements, a pointed reference to the large speculative inflows of capital that China is receiving and US dollar weakness.
The Banks new wording, included in its quarterly report on monetary policy, comes on the heels of growing global pressure for China to strengthen its currency, particularly from the European Union and Japan.
The International Monetary Fund said at the weekend that the renminbi, which was effectively re-pegged to the dollar in the middle of last year after being allowed to appreciate by about 20 per cent against the greenback since 2005, was significantly undervalued.
The central banks comments contrast with commerce minister Chen Deming who called at the weekend for a stable exchange rate to create stable expectations for exporters.
The comments by the commerce minister, who is responsible for trade, may indicate that the central banks position has yet to gain support at top levels of the government.
Economists said the new wording from the central bank would give it more flexibility but did not necessarily mean the government would shift policy soon. Indeed, few economists expect China to abandon its effective peg to the dollar before the middle of next year.
The central bank had hinted at the growing pressures for appreciation but I would temper that with the commerce ministers comments about the need for currency stability, said Ben Simpfendorfer, economist at RBS in Hong Kong.
Meanwhile, in Tokyo on Wednesday Tim Geithner, US Treasury Secretary, reiterated his belief in the importance of a strong dollar. I believe deeply that its very important to the United States, to the economic health of the United States, that we maintain a strong dollar, he told the Japanese press.
The PBoCs statement coincided with the release of a volley of new data indicating that Chinas economic recovery accelerated last month, with factory output increasing at a rate not seen since before the financial crisis. Retail sales also grew strongly.
Right now, the peg of the RMB to the USD is keeping the USD afloat; unpeg the RMB and not only will the RMB appreciate against the GBP and EUR and other currencies, the USD will sink like a rock...
JMO, China knows full well what happens if, or maybe I should say when, the US dollar devalues. They’ll have revolution on their hands too because of the economic situations that will decline in their country if we can’t afford their “stuff.” I think they’re playing “mind games” with Obama in hopes of getting concessions on some other issue (i.e. Taiwan, etc.)
I think theyre both playing mind games with Obama American citizens in hopes conjunction of getting concessions with mutual Communist interests on some other issue (i.e. Taiwan, etc.)
yitbos
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