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GOP & Conservative Wave Tonight (BIGGER than expected)?
11/3/09

Posted on 11/03/2009 5:39:56 PM PST by GLDNGUN

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To: Steely Tom

Did you catch Rush today?

He had the democratic and white house talking points already in the can, even a few minutes before they were being spouted.

Tomorrow will be hilarious watching the spin doctors exceeding shelly doing the hoola-hoop!


21 posted on 11/03/2009 5:50:02 PM PST by freedumb2003 (Communism comes to America: 1/20/2009. Keep your powder dry, folks. Sic semper tyrannis)
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To: GLDNGUN

“Deeds spent considerable resources during the campaign criticizing a conservatively themed thesis McDonnell wrote as a law school student – an effort that was perhaps ill-targeted. While 25 percent said the thesis made them less likely to support McDonnell (vs. 8 percent more likely), most, 62 percent, said it had no impact on their vote.”

...they’re talking about McDonnell’s paper in support of stay-at-home-moms....the Dems have been hijacked by the Feminazis so they look down on home maker mothers...they have no idea that the real world venerates this vital position in society....there are millions and millions of working mothers that would give anything to be able to do that....that’s why Deeds attack failed.


22 posted on 11/03/2009 5:50:26 PM PST by STONEWALLS
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To: Patrick1; Interesting Times

It looks like the website tallied wrong or something I saw the 80 -15 numbers too.


23 posted on 11/03/2009 5:50:58 PM PST by PrincessB (The comments written under this section shall not be treated as comments)
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To: GLDNGUN

>> And where do you think those ballots not counted yet are coming from?

Historically, from larger cities. And Democrat strongholds.

Look, if it turns out that McDonnell DOES win 70% to 30%, I’ll be more than happy to eat crow, any way you prepare it.

I’m just skeptical that the final number will be anywhere near that lopsided. 60/40, maybe. 70/30? No way.


24 posted on 11/03/2009 5:52:56 PM PST by Nervous Tick (Stop dissing drunken sailors! At least they spend their OWN money.)
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To: Nervous Tick
Look, if it turns out that McDonnell DOES win 70% to 30%, I’ll be more than happy to eat crow, any way you prepare it. I’m just skeptical that the final number will be anywhere near that lopsided. 60/40, maybe. 70/30? No way.

70-30??? ROFL Where are you getting that? I simply said he was ahead 61%-39%, a much bigger win than anticipated IF it holds (I DID have a ? in my headline).

Now 80% in and those numbers are holding. Are you expecting a Deeds landslide in the last 20%? LOL
25 posted on 11/03/2009 5:58:38 PM PST by GLDNGUN
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To: taildragger

It is a suburban area east of San Francisco, priamrily in Contra Costa County. It used to lean well right. But after Tauscher(D) took the seat away from an incumbent republican, who is a strong conservative, the seat got gerry-mandered to pack as many Dem votes as possible into it.

Harmer-R is thought to be barely trailing Garamendi(D) and could win with a perfect storm of a turnout.

-George

why do I know so much about this? I work in Walnut Creek And whom do I work for? Think about which non-government, yet far left, private business is based in Walnut Creek.

Think dinosaurs.


26 posted on 11/03/2009 6:06:16 PM PST by Calif Conservative ( rwr and gwb backer)
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To: GLDNGUN

>> 70-30??? ROFL Where are you getting that?

I didn’t mean to say that was your number. But on this thread 70/30 was mentioned and a number as high as 85/15 have been postulated.

By the way, you asked where the remaining votes would come from. That’s a good question. Here is a map from the Virginia Board of Elections site.

http://www.sbe.virginia.gov/cms/Election_Information/Election_Results/2009/November_General_Election.html

And, yes, it looks like the 60/40 ratio will hold, as you suggested it would.


27 posted on 11/03/2009 6:15:24 PM PST by Nervous Tick (Stop dissing drunken sailors! At least they spend their OWN money.)
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To: Calif Conservative

Is there going to be any blowback on the water issues there?


28 posted on 11/03/2009 6:23:47 PM PST by rbbeachkid (The ONLY ones able to fix the economy - Small Business Owners!)
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To: Nervous Tick
And, yes, it looks like the 60/40 ratio will hold, as you suggested it would.

I was only trying to make the point that the strength of the conservative vote has been underestimated, not just in VA, but who knows where else. With 37% of the vote in NJ, Christie leads by 11%, and Rove was just on FOX stating that he is doing better than expected, and says he now expects him to win.

I don't think there are isolated cases. Again, it's all about turnout. Pollsters go by "likely voters" usually leading up to an election. I'm suggesting that a MUCH HIGHER % of conservative "likely voters" actually voted than did the unmotivated democrats.

I'm also suggesting that the GOP can repeat this trend OVER and OVER if they put forth good, conservative candidates.
29 posted on 11/03/2009 6:28:31 PM PST by GLDNGUN
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To: GLDNGUN

“It’s all about TURNOUT in just about ANY election. This is why it is important to have a motivated, energized base. IF the GOP can put up a candidate in 2012 that will ENERGIZE AND TURNOUT the base, WE CAN’T LOSE.”

Actually, this is true only for close elections. Big election results, as tonight’s appear to be, usually mean a big majority of Independents have gone for the winning party.

Don’t get me wrong. Turnout is important. But in 2008, we had great turnout in conservative precincts. However, the independents voted against R’s bigtime that year. In that situation, turnout is not so important.

We will discover in the election post-analysis, that I’s broke against the Dem’s quite decisively tonight.


30 posted on 11/03/2009 6:34:27 PM PST by ModelBreaker
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To: GLDNGUN

>> I was only trying to make the point that the strength of the conservative vote has been underestimated, not just in VA, but who knows where else.

I understand — and I really, truly hope you are right. From the bottom of my heart.

It’s an election night to be savored, especially if Corzine goes down to defeat. But it would be a huge mistake (as well as heartbreaking) to get over-confident at this point. There is much work to be done, and a long time until the really meaningful elections. That’s all I’m saying.

Conservatism is logical, practical, compassionate AT ITS CORE (not layered on top a la W), and as Rush says, it works everywhere it’s been tried. I really believe that. Therefore I believe conservatives WILL do well going forward.

FRegards


31 posted on 11/03/2009 6:37:05 PM PST by Nervous Tick (Stop dissing drunken sailors! At least they spend their OWN money.)
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