Posted on 11/03/2009 1:37:37 PM PST by freespirited
I'm passing these two observations from liberal Virginia bloggers on to readers, but they're so out of line with expectations, I have a hard time buying them.
First, from Not Larry Sabato, about the Virginia delegate races: "SIX SEATS ARE GONE — ANOTHER NINE ARE IN PLAY FOR GOP PICKUP." Yesterday I predicted a GOP gain of six seats; I think most Virginia Republicans saw picking up 11 as their best-case scenario.
Then, from Blue Virginia:
I'm a bit skeptical of this, so take it with as big a grain of salt as you'd like, but it's from an excellent source. They got exit poll results from a precinct in Arlington that went 60%+ for Kaine in '05. With around 250 voters sampled over a 5-hour period this morning, McDonnell is up 22 points on Creigh Deeds. WTF? I mean, if that's even CLOSE to being true, it's horrible. Also, even if it gets better through the day, we're talking about possible margins in Arlington of less than 60% possible for Deeds. For comparison purposes, Tim Kaine got 74% of the vote in Arlington in 2005.
Are these two trying to motivate lethargic Democrats? Or is there really evidence of a building Republican wave in northern Virginia?
If there’s any question of a D carrying Arlington, things are really really bad for them. It’ll be interesting to see those pcts come in, tho. I don’t see how this rumor would stir the Dems to even bother to go out and vote.
If you think McDonnell will be +22 in Arlington, then you’re getting your info from a hoaxster. Deeds will carry Arlington and Alexandria, altho’ clearly by a smaller margin than did the Big Ø.
Ditto for my Alexandria precinct, which is overwhelmingly Libtard. When I went to vote, there was no one there. Business, they told me, was slow. Schweet.
If Frank Wolf does decide to retire, then could Liz Cheney fill his shoes? I hear she lives in McLean.
I can’t imagine she’d want a house seat.
Last year, I was hoping Fred Thompson would run for the Senate seat, since he lives in Virginia. We got Gilmore instead.
I love rumors:)
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