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To: HamiltonJay
A couple things. McHugh won this seat with over 60% of the vote in 2006 and 65% in 2008.

This is my father's district and Hoffman has been able to do a tremendous amount of TV and radio advertising through his own campaign and from third parties. Even the NRCC has been running generic attack ads on Owens that never mention Scozzafava, essentially providing more advertising for Hoffman.

Even better, the Kos kids have been running pro Scozzafava ads that tout her support of gay marriage, card check and Obama's stimulus plan. I may be wrong, but I not only think Hoffman wins, but it won't be as close as expected.

20 posted on 10/29/2009 2:58:15 PM PDT by garv (Conservatism in '12)
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To: garv

i agree with you that essentially,dede and owens will be splitting the same vote leaving the victors share for Hoffman


23 posted on 10/29/2009 3:02:53 PM PDT by wiggen (Never in the history of our great country have the people had less representation than they do today)
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To: garv

Those aren’t from the Kos kids. Those ads are a brilliant move by the Club For Growth.


27 posted on 10/29/2009 3:22:22 PM PDT by perfect_rovian_storm (The worst is behind us. Unfortunately it is really well endowed.)
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