Seems to me that 20-25% is overly optimistic, but IMO anything above Allen's 15% should be considered an achievement.
Based on the assumption most decisions are made off economics rather than race, consider that parts of Virginia around Washington and Richmond have a very wealthy black electorate.
This isn’t “inner-city” politics we’re talking about.
Is he 31% black?
(sorry)
I think the author of this piece may be over-analyzing the matter. In fact, let me suggest that the "macaca" comment may even have helped Allen among blacks.
Remember that Allen's comment clearly involved an Indian-American, not an African-American. Remember also that there's often a good bit of mutual animosity between Indian-Americans and African-Americans -- meaning perhaps that some members of the latter group were pleased when Allen dissed the young Indian-American videographer.
No.
Getting over 10% of the black vote is probaby due to low black turnout. The Libs at Public Policy Polling are concerned about low turnout among 18-29 years and blacks in the Va race. Many Dems are demoralized and seriously considering not voting in VA. Obama’s visit to Norfolk was about stopping the bleeding.
Yes.
Contrary to popular belief, Republicans have gotten a decent share of the black vote in races before. It’s when the Republican because a national candidate or a “controversial” candidate among their self appointed leaders that they suddenly swing a hard partisan line.
Strategy, strategy, strategy. Doesn’t anyone just plain want to do the right thing for America and her people?