Potential for Big GOP Pickups In Virginia's House of Delegates

NRO ^ | 10/27/09 | Jim Geraghty

[freespirited]

Right now, the Virginia House of Delegates has 53 Republicans, 2 independents who caucus with the GOP, 43 Democrats, and 2 vacant seats.

I hear Republicans watching the state delegate races closely think they have 11 challengers currently within the margin of error or better. They're worried about one or two of their own incumbents. You can do the rest of the math.

[freespirited]

Anyone have a sense about Barbara Comstock's chances?

[La Lydia]

If our luck holds, it is going to be an evening of eating hot death for the Dems.

[ExTexasRedhead]

We The People MUST take back our country from corrupt, anti-American politicians to ensure our freedom, to ensure our security, and to ensure our children and grandchildren’s futures. The RATs and RINOs at every level government “MUST” be voted out in 2010 and 2012 for our country to survive.

[BigSkyFreeper]

Comstock loses if she endorses any part of Obama’s far left national agenda.

[gwilhelm56]

**If our luck holds, it is going to be an evening of eating hot death for the Dems.**

Best of LUCK, VA ... but ...The Republicans are still running free.. and they’ve proven that they could screw up a 1 float parade.

[Texas Fossil]

Virginia U.S. Congressional Voting Record

2008	Bailout$		Auto$		2009	Cap&Trade		FDA/Food
Representative	HR1424	District	HR7321	District	Representative	HR2454	District	HR2749	District
	Virginia		Virginia			Virginia		Virginia
Wittman, Rob [R]	Nay	VA-1	No	VA-1	Wittman, Rob [R]	No	VA-1	Nay	VA-1
Drake, Thelma [R]	Nay	VA-2	No	VA-2	Nye, Glenn [D]	No	VA-2	Yea	VA-2
Scott, Robert [D]	Yea	VA-3	Aye	VA-3	Scott, Robert [D]	Aye	VA-3	Yea	VA-3
Forbes, James [R]	Nay	VA-4	No	VA-4	Forbes, James [R]	No	VA-4	Nay	VA-4
Goode, Virgil [R]	Nay	VA-5	No	VA-5	Perriello, Thomas [D]	Aye	VA-5	Nay	VA-5
Goodlatte, Robert [R]	Nay	VA-6	No	VA-6	Goodlatte, Robert [R]	No	VA-6	Nay	VA-6
Cantor, Eric [R]	Nay	VA-7	No	VA-7	Cantor, Eric [R]	No	VA-7	Nay	VA-7
Moran, James [D]	Yea	VA-8	Aye	VA-8	Moran, James [D]	Aye	VA-8	Yea	VA-8
Boucher, Frederick [D]	Yea	VA-9	Aye	VA-9	Boucher, Frederick [D]	Aye	VA-9	Yea	VA-9
Wolf, Frank [R]	Nay	VA-10	No	VA-10	Wolf, Frank [R]	No	VA-10	Yea	VA-10
Davis, Thomas [R]	Yea	VA-11			Connolly, Gerald [D]	Aye	VA-11	Yea	VA-11

[freespirited]

Comstock loses if she endorses any part of Obama’s far left national agenda.

Is there a reason that you fear she will do that? AFAIK, she's very conservative.

[BigSkyFreeper]

No reason. There’s no reason to think she will lose. I know how Conservative she is. She’s largely responsible for the opposition research of the RNC back in it’s heyday. She’s someone the Republican party could use right now.

[paltz]

Comstock has amazing chances and she is a solid conservative.

[luvbach1]

As ACORN and the Demorats would say (and do), vote early and vote often.

[HokieMom]

http://www.bobmcdonnell.com/ for Governor

http://www.billbolling.com/ for Lieutenant Governor

http://www.cuccinelli.com/ for Attorney General

It’s get out the vote time.

[Corin Stormhands]

Okay people. This is series. Even HUGH.

Reality is that we can take all three top slots and make significant gains in the House of Delegates.

BUT...

WE MUST GET OUT THE VOTE!!!!

The margins all depend on who shows up at the polls. The Dems are demoralized. But we can't become over confident.

[ExTexasRedhead]

Don’t forget “dig up the dead.” Liberals are great grave diggers as well as liars, cheats, cowards, and corrupt anti-American slime.

[fieldmarshaldj]

That’s for Congress (and 3 of those members are no longer in office), this is a discussion of the state legislature.

[Texas Fossil]

I am sorry for going off subject, but was reacting to the specific comments of my friend ExTexasReadhead.

I did not have the data for the state.

By the way, which 3 are no longer in office? The database I took this from has been reliable in the past.

[Texas Fossil]

and 3 of those members are no longer in office

I went over to House.gov and on the official website all of the U.S. Congressmen I had in the table are still listed. Do you have information to the contrary?

[fieldmarshaldj]

Sure. No, that list was from the prior Congress.

Thelma Drake (R) was beaten in VA-2 (by Dem Glenn Nye)

Virgil Goode (R) was beaten in VA-5 (by Dem Tom Perriello)

Tom Davis (RINO, VA-11) threw a hissy and quit when they wouldn’t give him the Senate nomination, and it went to rodent Gerry Connolly.

The Dems now have a 6D-5R majority of the VA House delegation. We should take back VA-5 (fluke upset), VA-2 (with a good candidate), but VA-11 is a bit more difficult being the rodent-expanding DC suburbs, although the challenger from ‘08 is running again.

[Texas Fossil]

I just figured it out, if you look at the table I posted there are 2 columns with Congressmen’s names. One for 2008 and the other for 2009. In the 2008 column there are 3 that are no longer there in the 2009 data. But the votes are associated with the correct Congressman.

[EDINVA]

All these polls are starting to scare the he!! out of me. If McD wins by less than a 20 point margin, or GOP doesn’t pick up a dozen or more seats in House of Delegates it’ll be portrayed as a LOSS for the GOP.

[fieldmarshaldj]

D’oh ! I looked at the first column without seeing the second. I thought it was the ‘07-’08 member. Sorry, my mistake. Long day. :-P