New WaPo Virginia Poll: The Crosstabs

WaPo ^ | 10/26/09 | Jennifer Agiesta

[freespirited]

With one week to go before voters in Virginia head to the polls, Republican Robert McDonnell has a double-digit lead over Democrat Creigh Deeds according to a new Washington Post poll. Here are selected crosstabs from the new poll of 1,206 likely voters.

Q. If the election were being held today and the candidates were Creigh Deeds, the Democrat and Bob McDonnell, the Republican, for whom would you vote?

                     Deeds   McDonnell
All likely voters      44%      55%

More results and question wording from the poll can be found here.

Men 39 59
Women 48 50

White 34 64
African American 89 10

Age 18-34 53 46
Age 35-64 43 55
Age 65+ 39 59

Democratic men 92 8
Democratic women 95 4

Republican men 4 95
Republican women 4 95

Independent men 33 64
Independent women 40 57

Military veterans 34 66

Northern Virginia 56 43

Inner suburbs 60 39

Rest of state 38 60
Southeast 43 54
East/Richmond 37 62
West/Shenandoah 36 63

[freespirited]

Looks like independents will seal Deeds' fate.

[hemogoblin]

All we gotta do now is VOTE, even if swine flu is mysteriously detected on all the voting machines.

[moose2004]

There is no way Bob only gets 10% of the African American vote, I think he’ll easily get close to 20%. Second, there is no way in hell that Deeds leads Bob in NOVA 56% - 43%, no way, no chance. I’d say it’s damn close to 50% - 50% in NOVA. Go Bob Go!!!

[dvwjr]

The partisan breakdown of this Washington Post poll of 1,206 Likely Virginia Voters is:

35.24% = Republican
33.42% = Democrat
31.34% = Independent

This particular Washington Post poll Virginia partisan breakdown slightly understates the McDonnell lead by around 1.0%, so that he probably has a 12% point lead, not 11% point lead as the rounded polls present.

Perhaps a 12% to 15% victory margin on November 3rd, 2009 for McDonnell (R).

dvwjr

[HokieMom]

http://www.bobmcdonnell.com/ for Governor

http://www.billbolling.com/ for Lieutenant Governor

http://www.cuccinelli.com/ for Attorney General

It’s get out the vote time.