So, what do you think — if Dede dropped out (remember her name would still be on the “R” line on the ballot) would Hoffman win, or would Owens?
It seems that Owens would get a lot of her votes, since she holds very liberal positions on a lot of issue.
It also seems that anybody who supports her now would be upset about Hoffman driving her out of the race, and might tend toward Owens.
So is our best hope that she continues to implode, but stays in the race so that her die-hard fans dont’ switch over to Owens?
Mostly, I think what I always think less than two weeks out from an election. Hoffman needs to get his voters to the polls. He really needs to play for McHugh’s base. If he can get 2 out of 3 of the McHugh voters, and they show up in the same proportions as last year, it is pretty sure that he is in.
CharlesWayneCT wrote:
So, what do you think —
I don’t know what the others have for ground game, but Hoffman has a good ground game, and I am getting emails from other organizations in upstate NY saying they are volunteering for him. I think he has a bigger ground presence than the others. Within the district, he started with 5 locations of his own business, and I think as many as 13 locations for businesses in his family. He has roots there, and local support in addition to all of the donations from around the country.
Some of the grass roots groups in or within driving distance of this district are pitching in. This includes some TEA party and 9-12 groups, as well as some other internet based conservative grass roots organizers.
| From the desk of cc2k: |
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