What are the chances that Obama gets primaried out in ‘12?
Maybe setting up Palin vs Hillary, or Palin vs ?
What are the chances that Obama gets primaried out in ‘12?
Three years is an eon in politics, but I would not expect it. What, after all, is Obama doing that Hillary would object to and expect to gain traction in a Democratic Primary? Jimmy Carter was renominated in '80, and I'd expect Obama to be renominated in '12. Or else the Democratic Party would surely split on racial lines.I can conceive of scenarios in which the Republicans nominate another RINO but Palin "Goes Rogue" and gets on the ballot with the endorsement of one or more "third" parties. And proceeds to draw more votes than the Republicans, and possibly wins the presidency.
TR didn't win election in 1912, but he did outpoll the Republican ticket . . . and things stand to be worse in the economy in 2012 than they were in 1980.
[Republican] John Anderson [ran as an independent in 1980 and] won 6.6% of the popular vote and failed to win any state outright. He found the most support in New England, fueled by liberal Republicans who felt Reagan was too far to the right; his best showing was in Massachusetts, where he won 15% of the popular vote. Conversely, Anderson performed worst in the South. Anderson failed to achieve the spoiler effect, due to Reagan's strong showing and the fact that he arguably attracted at least as many Democrats to his ticket as Republicans. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election,_1980Arguably the Republican Party comes out as the "third party" in a race of a RINO vs. Obama vs. Palin.